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Showing posts from August, 2021

Wolf Money(portfolio update for end August 2021)long post

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Lone Wolf Fund(LWF) Portfolio as at end of August  1.) Thai Beverage PCL   2.) Keppel Corporation   4.) Cash *Stocks are not rank in accordance to capital invested .  *Just for sharing. Not an inducement to buy or sell . Commentary The STI is down by just under 2 percent in the month of August. Some volatility can be seen in some small cap stocks. Some outperforming small cap companies fell from heaven with correction of up to 30 percent. Lone Wolf Fund was lucky to be higher in the month due to exposure to quality big cap stocks with improving business fundamentals.  I sold Pico Far East early August due the stock price hitting my trailing stop. I farm it out at the money. I am gutted for not taking my profit previously. I was aiming for the sky then. Greedy me. Lesson learn. One of the reason for the sale was due to rising covid cases in China. 60 percent of Pico business come from China and greater China. A rise in covid 19 case might disrupt the ability to h...

Wolf Money(world market review 23-29 Aug 2021

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Lai Foong Moi Singapore 1931-1995 Trishaw Rider circa 1961 Collection of the National Gallery Singapore Market Summary 23-29 Aug 2021 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸  + US corporate profits surged to fresh record high in Q2, boosted by robust demand and higher prices  + US economy on track for strong jobs market despite Delta variant, no signal given on start of bond-buying taper; Powell  + US is reviewing its trade policy with China: Katherine Tai  + S&P 500 passed historic mark of 4500 pts after Powell’s speech regarding monetary policy  + US personal spending growth moderated in July, climbed by 0.4% from a mth earlier - US consumer sentiment little changed in 2nd half Aug, remaining at pandemic lows as concerns over Delta variant  - US Supreme Court has allowed evictions to resume, ends protection for around 3.5m ppl next 2 mths  - US jobless claims rise by 4000 to 353,000 from pandemic low 349,000 a week earlier  - US introduced import duties ...

Wolf Money(book recommendation)

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“The Velvet Rope Economy-How inequality became big business” by Nelson D. Schwartz touches on the raw nerve of the inequality in our society. Businesses in America are ditching their bread and butter customers for more productive wealthier patrons. What is a Velvet Rope Economy? Businesses are providing premium services and goods to the ever growing pool of wealthy individuals who have the money to pay for the best. In America, God created everyone equally but not consumers. Big Corporate are cashing in according to the 80/20 rule or the Pareto Principle. (80 percent of effort goes to the top 20 percent of your big spending customers.) The Velvet Rope Economy is in full display at theme parks. Have anyone observe the pricing difference for a general admission ticket and the so called “express ticket”. Basically express ticket is a queue jumping ticket. Tickets are usually sold at a much higher premium. It doesn’t cost more for the theme parks to sell the express ticket but it does impr...

Wolf Money(world market review 16-22 Aug 2021)

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Xu Beihong China 1895-1953 Portrait of Lim Loh circa 1927 Gift of the Lim Family in Memory of Lim Loh Collection of The National Gallery Singapore  Market Summary 16-22 Aug 2021 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸  + Fed preparing for taper likely before end year if economic recovery continues + US jobless at lowest level since Covid-19 began March 2020; claims fell to 348,000, down by 29,000 - US retail sales drop 1.1% in July, motor vehicles and parts dealers led the decline, shift to spending on services  + US Conference Board said its index of leading economic indicators (LEI) rose 0.9% to 116.0 in July + US dollar marked fresh 9.5 mths high against major peers on Friday  + Powell to speak on ‘economic outlook’ next week + Yellen backs reappointing Powell as US Fed Chair, whose term expires Feb  - Goldman Sachs lowered Q3 growth forecast for US to 5.5% from 9% due to impact of Delta variant  + US 97% of small business owners won’t pay more income taxes under Biden...

Wolf Money(interest rate watch)update 2.0

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This is a repost which I wrote a couple of months ago. The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes released had shown most members favour a tapering by end of this year. The timeline is similar to my own forecast. The Fed is also concern with the runaway valuation of the stock market. The US market did get a reaction, most indices are down around 1% after the announcement. Going forward there might be a repricing of risks by the market participants.  Wolf Money(interest rate watch) June 24, 2021 Lone Wolf Investor interest rate watch officially start this week . Recently Fed Chairperson Jerome Powell had indicated interest rate increase might move forward from the previous communicated timeline of 2024 due to better than expected employment numbers and rising inflation. Now the market is expecting interest rate to increase sometime in 2023, about 1.5-2years from now. There is also the fed tapering of QE(quantitative easing which mean buying bond in cash effectively inject cash into ...

Wolf Bargain(the possibility of having Impossible at the lowest possible price?)

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  I was asked “why no vegan food or healthy food in my wolf bargain?” In the name of diversity, this is for you, the vegan.  (The impossible $5.90 made possible by 7-Eleven) Is it possible to have an impossible burger for less than 6 bucks? I would have find it unbelievable too. The cheapest impossible burger could be found for around 15-20 bucks in a cafe. Price of the impossible burger had been coming down recently(just like our stock market). It used to cost 30 bucks a burger when it was first launched.  (Juicy meat patty) Here come the low cost leader, 7-Eleven. I found the impossible burger(plant base) during the recent lockdown where any form of dinning in is forbidden. Armed with an empty stomach I chanced upon the impossible burger at 7-Eleven PLQ. It cost just $5.90. I thought my eyes are playing trick with me but it turnout my skepticism is unfounded. The mushroom Swiss Impossible Burger come with sweet soft burger bun, a nice impossible meat patty, mozzarella c...

Wolf Money(Comfortdelgro Corporation Ltd)

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The company had just released an announcement stating they have appointed Credit Suisse and UBS as lead managers and financial advisors for a listing of their Australia subsidiaries in ASX by end of 4Q this year. Good news for poor suffering shareholders who had to bear the brunt of falling share price and the cut in dividend over the last 2 years. Finger crossed if they can get the listing over the line. Sgx link  https://links.sgx.com/1.0.0/corporate-announcements/DQETU6ZSM7WQPIHM/a6e59aad6875a6ecf97cd0788c579db2c8ad29163718b4cc92ec226262ef9f79 Please follow us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf Investor by clicking on the link below  https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1 Disclaimers   All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before act...

Wolf Money(world market review 9-15 Aug 2021)

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Jolly Koh Singapore 1941 Fan Fern, IV(after Fan Fern, 1968) circa 1991 Collection of the National Gallery Singapore Market Summary 9-15 Aug 2021 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸  - US consumer sentiment index fell to 70.2 in preliminary August reading, lowest reading since 2011  - US July consumer prices jumped 5.4%, up 0.5% MoM, core inflation rises less than expected  + Yellen reportedly weighing a trip to China in coming mths + Fed is nearing the point of reducing its massive support for the economy, to begin cutting its US$120bn in mthly purchase of Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities  + US job openings top 10m in June, a new record, 3.9m workers quite their jobs the same mth  + US jobless claims total 375,000, falling for 3rd straight week, down 12,000 + US home prices soaring 23% in Q2 YoY amid low number of listings and robust demand + US senate narrowly approved US$3.5 trillion budget plan  + US House Democrats seek at least US$160bn in new EV funding as...