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Showing posts from June, 2021

Wolf Money(躺平 lying flat)

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I was having lunch with my friend yesterday when he mentioned about the phrase. It has become such a big movement in China that Chinese government decided to ban the word 躺平 on internet for fear of young people giving up hope of working hard for the betterment of themselves and country. Young people in China exhausted by a culture of hard work with seemingly little reward are highlighting the need for a lifestyle change by "lying flat". There is a growing trend of social underclass among young adult. Young adult around the world especially those working in big cites are resign to their destiny even if they work hard for a zillion years, they can never afford the house and nice thing in life with money they earned. They have little wage left over at the end of the month after paying rent and daily expenses. The yellow umbrella movement in HK started by young people has the same sort of angst. A lot of young people can’t see a future. I am sympathetic with situation face by man

Wolf Money(portfolio update end June 2021)

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Lone Wolf Fund(LWF) Portfolio as at end of June 2021. 1.)  Nam Lee Pressed Metal 2.)  Pico Far East (hk.0752) 3.) Rex International (punter’s bowl) 4.) Cash *Stocks are not rank in accordance to capital invested .  *Just for sharing. Not an inducement to buy or sell. Commentary   STI index has the distinction of the worst performing market in June. Index is down just slightly under 3 percent. It is puzzling given the fact other markets like Kospi and the S&P 500 are making new highs in June. The underperformance shown by STI is shockingly glaring. The market sentiment turned decisively negative towards the end of the month. I suspect the heavy cash call and rights issue by some TLC(Temasek Link companies) taking a toll on investors sentiment. Dark days continue for investors of TLCs. I continue to stay clear of most TLCs which are facing falling profit from unprecedented disruption from all front. With only old economy companies making up STI index. Future look bleak in the short t

Wolf Money(world market review 21-27 June 2021)

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  Georgette Chen Singaporean 1906-1993 The Temple (Peking) circa 1945-1949 Gift of the artist’s estate Collection of the National Gallery Singapore  Market Summary 21-27 Jun 2021 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸  - US risks a default and new financial crisis as soon as Aug if fail to suspend or raise federal borrowing limit: Yellen - US high inflation may last longer than anticipated: Fed officials  - US inflation likely to remain elevated for up to 2-4 years: BofA -US lawmakers strike US$1.2 trillion infrastructure deal  + US June manufacturing index at record high amid easing pandemic restrictions  + US consumer confidence at 85.5 pts in June, up by 3.1% compared to May’s survey  + US consumer spending paused in May as shortages hurt motor vehicle purchases  + US companies borrowed US$8.1bn for capital investment in May, 20%  higher than last year: ELFA survey + S&P 500, Nasdaq hit all-time highs, lifted by Nike and banks    + US all 23 large banks have passed its stress tests: Fed  + US

Lone Wolf Investor ending of email subscription by feedburner from July(repost)

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  Lone Wolf Investor on Telegram  April 15, 2021 Dear Subscribers, I have received news from feedburner they are no longer supporting email alert for blogspot from July 2021. I have set up a Telegram channel for subscribers who are keen to get the latest update from my blog. Please join us by clicking the link or scan the QR below for link to Lone wolf investor Telegram channel. I am delighted to be able to continue to share my thoughts and research with you. I hope to see you soon at telegram. In the meantime happy hunting! Warm Regards Gary@Lone Wolf Investor Please follow us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below  https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1 Disclaimers   All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before ac

Wolf Money(Pico Far East 1H 2021 result up 138%)

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Pico Far East had just reported first half profit of HKD 58m, an increase of 138% compare to HKD 24m last year. EPS came in at HKD 4.65c. The result is commendable given the challenges facing mice sector where hosting physical events had become difficult due to lockdown and social distancing. Greater China especially mainland China contribute to the recovery as more events are held in China post covid lockdown. Southeast Asia market continue to be weak due to covid 19 hampering recovery in physical events held.  Greater China now account for over 60 percent in revenue. The management is cautiously optimistic with general recovery from covid 19 but they did warn of recovery been gradual. I estimate they will be doing a better second half due to bigger contracts fulfilment for Oman museum,Tokyo Olympic Games and Dubai Expo which happens to be the biggest contact win in their history since their participation in Expo from 1988. China mice sector recovery continues to hold amid margin dec

Wolf Money(interest rate watch)

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Lone Wolf Investor interest rate watch officially start this week . Recently Fed Chairperson Jerome Powell had indicated interest rate increase might move forward from the previous communicated timeline of 2024 due to better than expected employment numbers and rising inflation. Now the market is expecting interest rate to increase sometime in 2023, about 1.5-2years from now. There is also the fed tapering of QE(quantitative easing which mean buying bond in cash effectively inject cash into the financial systems) for the stock market to content with. The current QE is at 120B a month. The Fed will be doing a reduction of that amount a few months down the road. That act itself is amounting to a rate increase. The purpose of this blog is to highlight the importance of interest rate watch. Interest rate is a big part to consider when one invest. It affected risk free rate, calculation on rate of return, expectation of return, interest rate affect currency, interest rate determine how much

Wolf Bargain(Double happiness???)

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What is Wolf Bargain double happiness???  One blog two wonderful snacks for tea break? One sweet and one savoury? Sound good? Read on. First up YY coffee shop sugar doughnut. The coffeeshop is located near the corner of Purvis St. YY coffee shop is run by the current owner for more than 10 years. The coffeeshop sell hand made old school sugar doughnut. It is only available after 10.30am. The doughnuts are always freshly made due the amount of doughnuts the coffee shop sell. People are buying them as fast as what the kitchen could chunked out. People are buying in bulk of 10 or 20 doughnuts at one go. The warm doughnut is soft and there is a fine sugar coat on the outer layer of doughnut. Surprisingly the doughnut is not overly sweet. It is perfect with a cup of unsweetened Tea O or English Breakfast. Each treat sell for $1.20. YY coffee shop has another specialty in form of freshly made gula melaka kaya butter bun. Do give it a try too. Do expect a queue during peak hours especially af

Wolf Money(world market review 14-20 Jun 2021)

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  Latiff Mohidin Malaysian 1941- Pago-Pago 69(metamorphosis) circa 1969 Collection of the National Gallery Singapore  Market Summary 14-20 Jun 2021 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸  - Fed could hike interest rates earlier twice in 2023, committee started to discuss options ending bond purchase program - US weekly jobless claims hit 412,000 last week, 37,000 more than the previous week  + US Conference Board said its index economic indicators (LEI) rose 1.3% to 114.5 in May + US import prices rose 1.1% in May after gaining 0.8% in April, 7th straight monthly gain lifted YoY increase to 11.3% + Fed expects inflation to climb to 3.4% in 2021, a full percentage point higher than its March forecast  + US and EU agreed 5-year truce to end their trade dispute over aircraft subsidies for Boeing and Airbus lasted 17 years  + Biden will meet US financial regulators next week for an update on financial systems and institutions  - US senators proposed 25% tax credit for investments in semiconductor manufa

Wolf Money(OTS holdings IPO balloting result)

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  As mention in my OTS  review , 1m public tranche doesn’t go very far in term of retail allocation. The public tranche is 233x over subscribed (A record for IPO this year) If one did applied for the IPO, you have about 1 in 10 chance of getting 1k-10k shares depending on how many shares you applied.. Most people will be going home empty handed losing their 2 dollars IPO ATM fees which can be use to partially offset the purchase of their luncheon meat for lunch. Good luck to those who had been allocated.  Please follow us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below  https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1 Disclaimers   All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our informat

Wolf Bargain(Ji Xiang Ang Ku Kueh)

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(Tower after tower of steamers) (Staffs hard at work making AKK) Ji Xiang Ang Ku Kueh(AKK) has been around for more than 30 years. It was started out by Mr. Toh and wife in Everton Park in 1988. I was introduced to their Kueh Kueh by my ex colleague Vincent. I had been buying their hand made Ang Ku Kueh for more than a decade since then. 10 years ago there was hardly a crowd. AKK then was known to be “old people food” or “food offering for the gods” I can easily get my AKK within minutes but recently the queue had been extending longer and longer due to the explosion of social media and there is a general trend of people going back to traditional food. I was at the Everton Park branch around 9am and the queue is 15 strong. I decide to ditch the plan. They have another outlet at Bugis Village. The queue is relatively shorter at Bugis. (Peanuts and salted bean are my favourites) There are many favours to choose from peanuts, coconut, salted bean, sweet bean, yam and sweet corn. There is