Wolf Money(world market review 28 Mar- 3 April 2022)


Semsar Siahaan Indonesia 1952-2005

Timur Rumit(The complication of East Timor) circa 1987-1990

Collection of National Gallery Singapore 




Market Summary 28 Mar – 03 April 2022

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 

+ US personal spending expanded 0.2% or US$34.9bn in Feb, personal income up by 0.5% to US$105.5bn, disposable personal income up 0.4% or US$76.1bn 

- Fed’s Evans repeated his view that US likely to make 7 rate hikes this years 

- US to release 1m barrels of oil per day from reserves to help cut gas prices, says 30 countries joining US releasing oil reserves 

- US 2-year treasury yield climbs above 10-year again

+ US unemployment rate down to 3.6% in March vs 3.8% in Feb 

- US initial jobless claims up 14,000 to 202,000 for wk ending Mar 26

+ US companies added 455,000 jobs in March: ADP

+ NY Fed says could begin trimming balance sheet as soon as May

- US trade deficit at US$106.6bn in Feb, 0.9% drop vs Jan 

+ US private payrolls grew by 455,000 in March: ADP

- US manufacturing sector activity slowed in March to 18-mth low, fell to 57.1 in March vs 58.6 in Feb 

+ US construction spending amounted to US$1704.4bn in Feb, up 0.5% compared to previous mth’s revised figure 

+ US house prices rise by 19.2% in Jan: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 

- US mortgage refinance demand plunged 60% as rates hit highest level since 2018

- US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) up by 6.4% in Q4 2021 

- US targets Russia’s technology sector in fresh sanctions 

+ US eased sanction on Russian agricultural products, including fertilizers to protect farmers from shortage of chemical products 

+ US introduced new tailpipe pollution standards to increase fuel efficiency; cars n light trucks to travel longer distances   

- US crude inventories down 3.4m barrels to 409.9m in week ending March 25: EIA

- US firms to account for holding user crypto assets: SEC 

- Microsoft’s cloud business being targeted by EU antitrust regulators 

+ Tesla delivers 1.06m electric cars from April 2021 to March 2022, sold 310,000 vehicles in Q1 despite logistic issues 

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ 

- China’s factory activity contracts at sharpest rate in 2 years, PMI fell to 48.1 in March from 50.1 in Feb: Caixin PMI

- China’s National Bureau of Statistic PMI for manufacturing landed in contractionary territory in March to 49.5%: CFLP

- China’s factory PMI came in at 48.1% in contractionary territory in March: IHS Markit 

+ Chinese yuan used in global forex reserves reached 5-year high in last quarter of 2021: IMF data 

+ China plans to promote renewal energy projects, raise share of non-fossil energy to 17.3% in 2022 

- China reported 13,146 local Covid-19 cases on Sunday with Shanghai most affected 

+ China makes draft revision to cross-border regulation for overseas listings amid audit talks with US 

+ Beijing passed detailed regulation lays out city’s policy priority and development plan for its Pilot FTZ

+ China to promote green energy, finance, transport and technology under BRI 

- China suffered world’s 2nd worst losses from flood-related events in 2021 stood at US$25bn 

+ Chinese buyers given flexibility to pay in yuan for Russian oil 

+ Evergrande has resumed 95% of construction projects: units says 

+ Country Garden acquired property assets from partners amid market turmoil 

- Shanghai service fees for transporting goods to the city up >50% on average as Covid curbs upend trucking market  

+ Chinese firm struck deal with Guinea’s govt to resume development of world’s largest known untapped iron ore reserve 

+ CNOOC won approval from regulator for a US$5.5bn domestic share sales as firm also reported record profit 

- China Vanke reported 45.7% plunge in net profit, due to lower gross profit margin and falling returns from some investments 

+ Huawei’s 2021 net profit soared 76% even as revenue plummeted, to appoint CFO Meng as rotating chairwoman 

+ Huawei HarmonyOS expected to exceed to 560m units

- Nio’s delivered 25,768 vehicles in Q1, posting annual increase of 28.5% to new record high 

+ Chinese fast fashion start-up SHEIN weighing a funding round at valuation of about US$100bn 

- HKEX halted trading of 32 Chinese firms after failing to meet earnings report deadline, including numbers of Chinese real estate firms

- HK Feb home prices dropped to 13-mth low hit by new Covid-19 wave  

- Macau Golden Gp became the latest junket operator to shut down 

+ Taiwan says recent rise in domestic Covid-19 cases will not affect plans to gradually reopen 

- TSMC plans to continue cooperation with Russia on joint projects 

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- Japan PM ordered an emergency monetary package 

+ Japanese Kibun Bank Flash Manufacturing PMI Index sees stronger expansion at 54.1 in March 

- Japan retail sales down by 0.8% in Feb at ¥11.53bn

- BOJ has no plans to issue own digital currency yet: Kuroda 

+ Japan may expand fuel subsidy to curb energy costs

+ Japan has no intention of withdrawing from its oil and natural gas project in Russia’s Far East: minister 

+ Panasonic to invest US$4.9bn in growth areas, technology pillars 

- Putin signed order in new ruble payment mechanism to come into force in April 1

+ Russian currency is trading near pre-crisis levels 

- Russia sanctions may lead to global energy crisis: IEA 

+ Russian central bank lifts ban on stock short-selling of company shares 

+ Russia softening restrictions on foreign fund transfers for individuals for 6-mth period 

- Gazprom sent official notifications to European clients detailing new paying deal 

- Russia-Ukraine insurance losses could reach US$35bn 

+ Russian ramps up gas supply to China through Power of Siberia mega-pipeline are rising 

+ Russia offers SWIFT alternative for dollarless trade with India: report

- Oil fall most in 2 years by around 13% in biggest weekly falls after oil stockpile release

+ OPEC+ to increase output by 432,000 bpd in May 

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช 

- Eurozone inflation surged to 7.5% in March, higher than expected 

- Euro area unemployment at 6.8% in Feb, down from 6.9% in Jan: Eurostat  

 - European Commission expects EU to remain dependent on energy imports from Russia for at least until 2027

- Eurozone manufacturing activity at 14-mth low in March at 56.5: Markit Economics 

- EU plans to impose new round of sanctions on Russian banks 

- European fundraising suffers worst quarter since dotcom crash

- German Council of Economic Experts (GCEE) changed forecast for GDP growth from 4.6% to 1.8%

- German inflation at 7.3% in March, highest in 40 years 

- Germany Manufacturing PMI at 56.9 in March vs 58.4 in Feb, marking 18-mth low 

+ Germany retail sales rose by 7% in real term in Feb YoY

+ German jobless rate at 5.1% in March, unemployed German residents down by 18.000 from previous mth  

- Germany mulls nationalising Gazprom, Rosneft branches: reports 

- UK manufacturing activity hit 13-mth low in March at 55.2: IHS Markit

+ UK annual price growth up to 14.3% in March: Nationwide House Price Index 

- London exchange suspends Russian metals; aluminium, copper and lead are subject to suspension 

+ Italy PM said Putin assured him current “contracts remain in place” and European firms will continue to pay in euros n dollars 

- Spain CPI rose 9.8% on yearly level in March, highest level since May 1985

- Belgium’s annual inflation rate climbed to 8.3% in March, highest in nearly 40 years

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซ 

- Australia to impose additional 35% tariff on all imports from Russia and Belarus on top of taxes already applied 

+ India, Australia inked interim trade deal 

+ Iran already pumping oil at pre-sanctions level to 3.8m barrels a day: minister 

+ Bangladesh’s largest sewage China-funded plant in South Asia begins operations 

+ Afghanistan to have Chinese industrial park to be build in Kabul New City 

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ 

- Indonesia inflation climbed to 22-mth high in March, risen to 2.64% YoY 

- Indonesia plans VAT, income tax on crypto transactions 

- Thailand residential property developers stuck with US$30bn oversupply 

+ Thailand looks to abandoning Test&Go scheme for tourists from June 1 

+ Vietnam VinFast signed deal to set up EV factory in US 

+ Malaysia’s central bank projected country’s economy will grow between 5.3% and 6.3%

+ Malaysia, Indonesia agreed global prices of palm oil should be determined by the 2 biggest producers n should not compete 

- Malaysia manpower shortage may derail automotive sector recovery: vendors 

+ Sg will not need to tighten pandemic measures even if Covid-19 cases rise: minister 

- Sg developers may defer less urgent projects due to soaring raw material prices 

+ Sg private property index up by 0.4% in Q1 

- Sg electricity tariff to rise by average of 9.9% in Q2 

+ Sg and US to collaborate on AI, advanced manufacturing and cybersecurity 

- Sg is world’s 3rd priciest flexible office location: Workthere 

+ Sg air transport sector ramping up recruitment, staffing levels now above 2/3 pre-pandemic 


Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.

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Disclaimers 

All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. All information provided are for information only. Buyer beware,do you own due diligence.

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