Wolf Money(world market review 13-19 Nov 2023)



Low Kway Song Singapore 1889-1982

Sultan in his Chambers circa 1930s

Collection of National Gallery Singapore



Market Summary 13-19 Nov 2023

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- US inflation flat in Oct from previous mth but increased 3.2% YoY, both below WS estimates 

+ US wholesale prices in Oct posted biggest decline in 3.5 years, PPI down 0.5% in Oct, biggest mthly drop since Apr 2020 

- US manufacturing output fell 0.7% in Oct, data for Sept revised to lower to show production up 0.2% instead of 0.4%

+ US retail sales fell 0.1% in Oct MoM, ending 6 straight mths of gains, partly driven by falling prices of gasoline and cars 

+ Biden Xi meet in San Francisco Baay area on sidelines of APEC 

+ US-China agreed to start talks on AI and commit to working toward further increase in schedule passenger flights early 2024

- US auto strikes sank manufacturing output in Oct 

+ US GDP is projected to expand 2.1% in 2024 on full-year basis: Golden Sachs 

- Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits increased to 3-mth high last week, rose 13,000 to seasonally adjusted 231,000

- US deflation could be coming this holiday season: Walmart CEO 

- SpaceX launched super heavy-starship rocket failed to get to space, blasted off on its 2nd test flight  

- OpenAI Sam Altman exits as CEO after ‘board no longer has confidence’ in his ability to lead  

+ Microsoft working with investors including Thrive Capital and Tiger Global to restore OpenAi CEO Altman  

- US jobs data may be miscounting millions of gig workers: research 

- Apple files legal case contesting EU’s digital markets act 

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+ China retail sales expanded 7.6% YoY to ¥4.33 trillion in Oct, services sector continued to grow faster than sales of goods 

+ China’s GDP fist 3 qtrs reached total ¥91.3 trillion (US$12.48 trillion), growing 5.2% YoY in Q3 alone

- China prices for new and second-hand housing across 70 large and medium-sized cities declined by 0.3% in Oct MoM: NBS  

+ China asked some lenders to cap interest financing costs this mth 

+ China central bank injected ¥600bn into banking system through MLF, highest in 7 years

+ China established working mechanism to issue ¥1 trillion govt bonds, address financing need of local govt, property developers

+ China’s state planner to step up efforts to attract foreign investment and improve consumption among low n mid income gps  

+ China should build a strong team of domestic institutional investors to support Chinese equities growth: regulator

+ China and HK Monetary Authority conduct technical testing on cross-boundary payments of digital yuan  

- MOFCOM: EU’s anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese EVs is not-complaint, not-transparent and unfair

+ China issued 3-year plan to boost domestic tourism 

+ China-Japan agreed to set up dialogue mechanism for export controls, improving business environment 

+ World’s first 1.3TB ultra-high-speed backbone network connecting Beijing, Wuhan and Guangzhou opens in China 

+ Xinjiang now a gateway for westward opening-up with surging agricultural produce and vehicle exports 

+ Taiwan-Mainland entrepreneurs Cross-Straits CEO Summit held 10th annual summit in Nanjing

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- Japan GDP shrank 0.5% in Q3 vs Q2, below expectation 

- Shiseido’s total core operating profit 3rd qtr alone fell 53% to 8.8bn yen, total net sales fell 15.3%, partly due to decline in China 

+ Russia lifted restrictions on gasoline exports, cross-border sales of motor fuel were halted in Sept 

- Global debt edged to record US$307.4 trillion in Q3, debt-to-output ration in emerging markets hit all-time high

- OPEC+ set to consider whether more oil cuts needed when meet later this mth 

- Prices for used Rolex and Patek Philippe watched fell to fresh 2-year lows on secondary market: Bloomberg Subdial Watch Index 

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ 

- Eurozone economy fell 0.1% QoQ in Q3, but employment rises

- Eurozone inflation could pick up, growth will remain weak: ECB 

- UK retail sales in Oct hit lowest level since Feb 2021 lockdowns, volume of products sold last mth fell by 0.3% 

- Man United American owners set to finalise US$33 per share of 25% stake to Jim Ratcliffe 

+ Athens home prices are surging faster than other European cities 

- Czech Republic reportedly seizing 70 pieces of Russia property 

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+ South Korea-China first exchange meeting on practical economic cooperation held in Jilin China 

- South Korea prosecutors called for Samsung boss Jay Y.Lee to be jailed for 5 years over 2015 US$8bn merger case 

+ Indonesia reported annual budget surplus of RP34.94 trillion as of Q3, anticipating year-end surplus of RP27.19 trillion 

- Indonesia’s exports down 10% in Oct due to declining price of coal and plunging plan oil export volume

+ Indonesia to receive trade delegations from US on semiconductors 

+ Jokowi invites global CEOs from APEC countries to invest in Indonesia 

+ Thailand proposed US$28bn land bridge project easier than Kra Canal, to provide new route between Indian and Pacific Oceans

+ Malaysia and China’s representatives of palm oil industry business sector met in Shanghai to deepen business and trade ties 

- Ringgit has been hovering at 25-year lows recent weeks, hitting almost 4.8 to USD last mth, 1st breached 3.5 mark against SGD

- Sg NODX shrank 3.4% YoY in Oct vs Sept’s 23.1% fall

+ IRAS and 47 other jurisdictions to implement crypto-asset reporting framework 

+ Sg announced cross-border payment links with Indonesia and Malaysia 


Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.

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All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. All information provided are for education only. Buyer beware,do you own due diligence.


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