Wolf Money(world market report 4-10 Dec 2023)

 




 Macaws and their Symbolism@Topical Exhibition

National Gallery Singapore from 18 Nov 2023 to 24 March 2024


Market Summary 4-10 Dec 2023

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+ US consumers’ outlook for inflation in the year ahead plunged to 3.1%, lowest since Mar 2021 

+ US economy added 199,000 jobs in Nov, surpassing 150,000 in Oct vs expectations of 180,000 gain 

+ US consumer confidence surged to 69.4 in Dec, rising form 61.3 in Nov, surpassing market expectations set at 62

+ US consumer sentiment surged to 69.4 in Dec rising form 61.3 in previous mth, vs expectations set at 62

- US to buy oil for strategic reserve monthly through at least May 

- US Strategic Petroleum Reserve stockpile at its lowest in <30 years: industry association  

- US oil producers to slow capital spending in 2024: Evercore 

+ US jobless rate fell to 3.7% in Nov from 3.9% in Oct

- US consumer credit up by US$5.13bn in Oct, from US$9.06bn rise in previous mth, misses estimates of US$9bn growth 

+ US mortgage rates fall to nearly 4-mth low: Freddie Mac 

- JP Morgan CEO: Cryptocurrencies should be outlawed  

+ Apple to move iPad engineering resources to Vietnam, and aims to build >50m iPhones annually in India

+ Boeing share price hits 29-mth high, Uber share price hit 33-mth high

+ Nvidia set to discuss chip deals in Vietnam next week 

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- China’s CPI fell by 0.5% YoY in Nov vs 0.2% in Oct, fastest decline in CPI since Nov 20

+ China’s exports grew 1.7% YoY to ¥2.1 trillion, imports up 0.6% to ¥1.6 trillion in Nov

- China’s food prices declined 4.2% in Nov, strongest pace in >2 years 

- China’s producer prices down 3% in Nov 23 vs 2.6% drop in Oct, 14th straight mth of producer deflation and steepest since Aug 

+ China’s imports of chip-making equipment totalled US$4.3bn in Oct, up from US$2.4bn YoY

+ China’s passenger vehicles sales rose 25.5% in Nov YoY to totalled 2.1m units, highest for a mth in 2023 

+ China more biggest automakers moved to build semiconductors supply chains  

- China’s 8 banks outlook cut by Moody’s on potential credit quality, downgraded HK too 

+ China big 4 banks in full drive to build China into a financial powerhouse 

+ China unveiled plan to promote further opening-up Shanghai FTZ, pave way for entry to CPTPP 

+ CNOOC starts building China’s largest commercial underground oil reserve estimate ¥3bn 

+ China cuts visa fees by 25% for travellers from many countries 

+ China aiming to realise commercialisation of 6G technology by 2030, expected standard-setting be achieved around 2025 

+ Huawei, Ant Gp join forces to build HarmonyOS-based Alipay app

- Dutch gp Prosus trimmed part of US$93bn Tencent stake 

- HK stocks around 13-mth lows as data triggers economic concerns 

+ HK pushing for deeper ties with ME, China to bring in new capital 

- TSMC recorded 7.5% drop in revenue to US$6.6bn in Nov, revenue first 11mths down 4.1% YoY

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- Japan’s GDP contraction revised to 2.9% drop on annualised basis in Q3, worse than preliminary estimates  

+ Japan’s current account surplus at ¥2.582.8bn in Oct, stay positive for 9th consecutive mth, exceeding forecasts 

- Japan household spending declined in real terms by 2.5% in Oct after 2.8% drop in prior mth 

+ Japan PM set to make key cabinet changes 

+ Russia will post 3.5% GDP growth for 2023: Putin 

- Russia annual inflation rose to 7.5% in Nov vs 6.7% in Oct at 9-mth high 

+ Russia-China trade first 11 mths reached US$218bn, up by 26% in a year  

+ Russian oil exports yielding more revenue than before Ukraine conflict: Bloomberg 

+ Russia exports of LNG to EU hit all-time high of 1.75m tons in Nov, largest volumes reportedly shipped to France and Belgium 

+ Gold price touched all-time high of US$2100 per ounce 

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- EU considers restarting WTO case against US over steel tariffs 

- EU agrees on landmark AI rules, one of world’s first comprehensive attempts to limit use of AI  

 - EU and G7 countries price limit imposed on Russian seaborne oil sales has essentially failed: Politico 

+ Germany inflation rate confirmed at 3.2% YoY in Nov, at nearly 2.5 yrs low 

+ Germany’s DAX hits record high of 16,533 pts 

+ VW considering cooperation with Renault on 20,000-euro EV

- BAT writes down US$31.5bn from value of US cigarette brands, citing rise of vaping, shares at lowest since 2010

+ France CAC 40 index at nearly 4-mth high of 7490 

+ L’Oreal hit 23.5 years high of 442.65, Hermes Int’l hits 18-week high, LVMH hits 8-week high of 726.8

- Italy formally notified China withdrawal from B&R initiative 

- Swiss bank admitted helping American taxpayers and others to hide billions of dollars from US Internal Revenue Services: DOJ

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- Australia to triple fees on foreign purchases of existing homes 

+ India BSE Sensex Index reached fresh record of 69,825

+ South Korea posted current account surplus of US$6.8bn in Oct, remaining positive for 6th straight mth 

+ Aramco is ready to work with China in the process of energy transition 

+ Saudi PIF is pumping further capital into Alibaba-backed tech venture 

+ Saudi PIF in talks at least US$250m in Chinese EV maker Horizons Gp

- Qatar Holding looking to sell 50% stake of £510 million ($644 million) worth of its shares in Barclays: Bloomberg

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- Indonesia launched WTO dispute against EU over stainless steel import duties 

- Indonesia needs to ease service sector restrictions: World Bank 

+ Thailand to promote early opening of railways connecting with China 

- Thailand to raise minimum wage by 2.37% from Jan 1 

+ Vietnam wins sovereign credit upgrade from Fitch ratings on robust FDI, closer to investment grade 

 + Vietnam to receive China’s Xi state visit from Dec 12-13

+ Malaysia’s next king wants to revive HSR link project with Singapore, border crossing via Forest City

+ Malaysia to intensify labour market reforms in 2024: Minister 

+ YTL Power confirmed AI data centre deal with Nvidia, to provide AI computing services to the country 

+ Sg to triple AI talents pool to 15,000 as part of national strategy update: DPM 

+ Sg-China signed 24 MOU on corporation including bilateral visa-free policy and upgraded version of FTA during DPM visit 

+ Sg sightseeing tour searches in China witnessed a surge after 2 countries reach 30-day mutual visa exemption agreement    

+ Nvidia could back an “iconic site” in Sg for booming technology, also construct a new and bigger supercomputer: CEO 

+ Sg n China to let each other’s tourists pay with digital yuan 

+ Sg signed ground-breaking FTZ with 4 South American nations 


Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.

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