Wolf Money(world market review 22-28 April 2024)

 



(Sophia Koo Sze Min Year 4 student with SOTA)


Market Summary 22-28 Apr 2024

*USA* 

-US GDP adjusted for inflation grew at 1.6% in Q1, slowest in nearly 2 yrs, consumer prices rose at 3.4% in Q1

-US S&P Manufacturing PMI declined to 49.9 from 51.9, Composite PMI fell to 50.9 from 52.1, Global Services PMI lower to 50.9 from 51.7 in Apr   

-US year-ahead inflation expectations complied by Uni of Michigan rose to 5 mth-high of 3.2% in Apr, vs 2.9% in Mar  

-US consumer sentiment revised lower to 77.2 in Apr from preliminary of 77.9, vs 79.4 in Mar

+ US durable goods orders up 2.6% or US$7.3bn in March at US$283.4bn 

+ US Q1 estimated earnings growth looking stronger at nearly halfway mark of reporting period

+ Blinken in Beijing for talks with top Chinese officials 

-Biden has signed a new law could potentially lead to TikTok being banned in US 

+ US GDP growth for Q1 could be revised higher after more data is in hand and inflation will ease to more normal levels: Yellen 

+ Yellen: non imminent US sanctions on Chinese banks for Russia trade 

-US Composite PMI Output Index stood at 50.9 in Apr to 4-mth low 

+ US announced US$7bn plan to make solar affordable 

+ US sales of new single-family houses up 8.8% in Mar to hit 693,000 

-US to target Chinese banks for working with Russia: WSJ 

+ Micron to get US$6.14bn funding under CHIPS and Science Act 

+ US, China to have AI discussion in coming weeks: Blinken 

-US Dept of Justice seeks 3-year sentence for Binance founder 

-iPhone sales in China dropped 19% in Q1 to worst result since 2020 

+ Elon Must kicks off surprise trip to Beijing: sources 

+ Elon Musk’s xAI, formerly known as OpenAI, nears US$6bn funding from investors, including VC firm Sequoia 

+ Elon Musk sees Tesla’s future; likening it to a blend of Airbnb and Uber, to cut >3000 jobs in California 

-Boeing reports first revenue drop in 7 qtrs as deliveries decline; downgraded by Fitch to negative  

*CHINA*

+ China’s industrial profits up 4.3% YoY in Q1, vs 10.2% jump in prior period 

+ PBoC to keep its 1-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.45%, 5-year LPR remained at 3.95%  

+ PBoC indicated its approval for trading treasury on secondary market, signalling more robust action to boost liquidity

+ China issued >¥1.12 trillion (US$157.9bn) of treasury bonds and over ¥66.79bn of local govt bonds in Q1 on BSE

+ China passed tariff law; leaving its biggest trade partners in no doubt that it can hit back should they put tariffs on exports 

+ China produced 85.959 tonnes of gold in Q1, up 1.16% YoY, gold consumption at 308.905 tonnes, up 5.94% YoY 

+ China looks to toughen penalties to calm down on inflated or manipulated economic statistics 

+ Chinese tech-firm unveiled text-to-video AI model Vidu on par with Sora 

+ China launched new policy encouraging trade-ins of more polluting vehicles for NEVs 

-Shanghai vacancy rate of grade-A office buildings reached 20.9% at near 20-year high: CBRE 

+ China crated 3.03m new jobs in Q1, >25% of year’s target reached

+ Xiaomi expects annual car delivery to reach 100,000

-ByteDance stated not considering selling TikTok

+ Chinese-produced durian in Hainan likely to quadruple to reach 200 tonnes this year

+ China’s top liquor brand Kweichow Moutai reported 15.59% YoY profit surge in Q1

+ HK economy set for 5th straight qtr of ‘moderate’ growth at 2.5%-3.5% in Q1: Finance chief 

*EUROPE*

+ Europe should not become a vassal of the US, urged stronger defences: Emmanuel Macron 

+ Eurozone govt debt fell to 88.6% of GDP in Q4 vs 89.6% in Q3 

+ Euro area private business sector at 11-mth high in Apr, composite PMI at 51.4 from 50.3 in Mar 

-EU launched investigation into Chinese medical device market 

-EU starting formal proceedings against TikTok over launch of TikTok Lite 

+ Airbus allowed to use banned Russian titanium 

-German unemployment will rise to an average of just under 2.8m this year, highest level since 2015: IW

+ UK private sector output reached 11-mth high in Apr, composite PMI at 54 from 52.8 in Mar: S&P Global 

-UK is investigating Microsoft and Amazon AI mergers  

-France slow economic growth will lead to fall out of top 10 global economies: IMF 

-UBS Chairman said bank ‘not too big to fail’, expressed concern govt’s proposal to impose tighter capital requirements 

+ Russian mining giant Norilsk Nickel will move some copper smelting production to China 

-Russia could downgrade relations with US if its assets are confiscated 

*ASIA*

+ BOJ will hike rates again if trend inflation accelerates toward it 2% target as expected: governor Ueda 

-Japanese yen hits new 34-year low vs dollar

-Japanese Jibun Bank Flash PMI Index at 49.9 in Apr

-Japan launched anti-dumping investigation into graphite electrodes imported from China 

+ Toyota will cooperate with Tencent on AI, cloud computing, big data in its EVs: Nikkei 

+ Honda is set to close a US$6bn deal with Canada for EV plant 

+ South Korea, US to discuss ways to advance cooperation in semiconductor industry: Yonhap 

+ SK Hynix to invest US$14.6bn to boost AI chip capacity 

+ Aramco in talks with China Hengli Gp to acquire 10% Hengli Petrochemical stake 

*ASEAN*

-Bank Indonesia raised key interest rates by 25bps to 6.25% as what it calls a “pre-emptive measure” 

-Indonesia govt body proposed outstanding debt to around 40% of GDP next year 

+ Malaysia inflation rate rose 1.8% YoY in Mar 

+ Malaysia’s export, import prices increase 1.7%, 0.1% in Mar

+ Malaysia unveiled comprehensive semiconductor strategy to capitalise on global tech upcycle, sustain prominent role in chip supply chain

-Sg industrial production contracted 9.2% YoY in Mar; double-digit declines in electronic and biomedical clusters: EDB

+ Sg headline inflation at 2.7% in Mar YoY, vs 3.4% in Feb, core inflation at 3.1% vs 3.6% in Feb 

-Sg must prepare for slower growth at higher costs: MAS

+ Sg 1 in 3 SMEs expect AI to replace or take over jobs: survey  

+ Sg private home prices up 1.4% in Q1, rents down by 1.9%: URA  

+ HDB resale prices rose 1.8% in Q1 vs 1.1% in previous qtr 

-Sg industrial rents rose 1.7% in Q1, occupancy rates dipped and prices fell for the first time in 3 yrs 


Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.

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All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. All information provided are for education only. Buyer beware,do you own due diligence.


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