Wolf Money(US election and my personal observation)
Surprisingly it was an easy win for Donald Trump. The White House, the House of Representatives and The Senate all have one colour on them. Red! I listed down my general observations and predictions from this election and what it holds for the next 4 years.
*High interest may continue given Trump inflationary policies. Powell unlikely to cut rates much, he might get replaced by Trump.
*Oil likely to do well in an inflationary environment. Given Texas is a Republican stronghold
*Western allies likely to hedge their bets given their past grievances with the Trump administration. Western countries ties with China will improved.
*Crypto and Elon trades likely to benefit
*Chinese economy to be more subdue over the next 4 years
*China’s stimulus is likely to be more measured going forward due wide interest rate differential between US and China. Too much stimulus might cause an unwanted currency crisis due to capital outflows.
*Asian economies growth to slow due to tariff threat
*Elon Musk might be keen to contest the next presidential election
*Gold and commodities to stay high.
*Potential min. wealth tax outside of US to stop wealth leakages, similar to the min corporate tax rate introduced by OECD
*Partition of Ukraine to end war. Ukraine and NATO on the losing side. Israel to have full security control over Gaza
*Allies and countries needing US military protection will be blackmailed for protection money
*Yen to be weak for slightly a bit longer and higher inflation for the Japan will continue
*Cash is attractive as an investment
2c worth. Don’t take it as cardinal truth. Just guessing.
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