Wolf Money(Boustead Singapore)situational

-

 


The below article is for educational purpose only. Kindly refrain from taking any action. It shouldn’t constitute as an investment advice. Please read the disclaimer.

I have taken a small position in Boustead Singapore. Base on news report, they are looking to divest their Como Orchard at $680m asking price. I am taking a situational position base on assumption the sale did go through at their asking price.

(Source: Business Times)


1.) The asking price of $680m for Como Orchard is $165m higher than their purchased price of $515m just 3 years ago. I estimate a gain of 17c-20c per Boustead share if the sale do go through.

2.) Base on my assumption of a 40% equity and 60% debt funded for the purchase of the building. The cash amount coming back to JV after debt retirement at JV level to be around 272m or 136m owning to Boustead which has a 50% stake in the JV.

3.) There are currently 56m of borrowings sitting on Boustead’s book. If they extinguished the debt from the sales proceeds at company level. There will be around 80m or 16.5c which can be free up for dividend distribution. Net cash will reach around 450m(including sale proceeds after netting off debt)or around 91c nett cash per BSL share if the sale goes through at their asking price.

4.) The counter has a 5.3% dividend yield.

Risks

5.) I personally don’t quite fancy the industrial design and build business at this moment, given the high cost of construction and waning demand for industrial properties in Singapore. Boustead hasn’t been able to win a contract in Singapore for over a year. The build environment continues to be weak in Singapore for the foreseeable future given the oversupply of industrial buildings and business parks. Bulk of Boustead’s new projects are likely to come from overseas. They recently won a RM 300m contract in Malaysia.

6.) There is also key man risk given Mr. Wong’s advanced age.

7.) A $680m asset is not an easy sale. It is highly dependent on market conditions. A sale might not happened if market conditions turned for the worse. A big asset sale can take up to 6 months.

8.) Poor liquidity of the counter.

Summary

It is logical to divest Como Orchard given the recent recovery of the tourism sector where value of hospitality assets are rising. There might be an interest rate hike sometime down the road if Trump’s inflationary policies are allowed to implement. If a sale does materialised, the potential capital distribution to the shareholders is the right thing to do. There is a lot of guesstimate on my part. Kindly do take it with a pinch of salt. More details at the end of month portfolio review.

Please consider following us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below. No form filling, no payment required, no collection of data, no data mining, no hard selling, no obligation. 

https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1



Disclaimers 

All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. All information provided are for education only. Buyer beware,do you own due diligence.


Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Wolf Money(Portfolio update for end April 2024)part 1

-
Image
  (Image credit The Star Media) (Swamp of people going into Shenzhen) Bye Singapore! Hi Malaysia, 2026 This write-up was inspired by a video posted on YouTube. The video talks about Hong Kong hollowing out by Shenzhen. The recent phenomenon of Hong Kongers going to Shenzhen to play, eat and stay is gathering pace with close to 2 millions making the crossing to Shenzhen during the recent Easter Holiday. That is close to 30% of the current HK population leaving for Shenzhen. With deflation taking root in China, things are much cheaper in Shenzhen. The poor economy in HK is another push factor with Hong Kongers trading down their consumption. One traveller from HK mentions his spending in the mainland only cost him 1/3 of the usual price he paid in Hong Kong. Hong Kongers are shopping at Sam’s Club in Shenzhen buying everything from groceries to electronics. The commentator interviewed restaurants and shop owners in HK, most experienced a 30% drop in sales during the holiday.  *T...
Read more

Wolf Money(The death of the Singapore Stock Market-My view on the final offer for Great Eastern Holdings)

-
Image
(The Death of the Singapore Stock Market) Great Eastern Holdings(extract from end of month portfolio update) Today we are here to attend the funeral of the Singapore stock market. Besides the low valuation suffered by our market participants, investors of our market have to navigate the complexity of low ball offers from majority shareholders. One would expect a local banking giant to lead as a beacon for good corporate governance. Unfortunately, they have decided to turn a blind eye and join the dark side of the forces, blatantly ignoring the IFA report to pay a fair price for GEH. I could have walked away quietly by accepting the offer for a gain in excess of 40% in 3 months, but I can’t walk away without my conscience pushing me to express my thoughts on this whole takeover saga. I started the journey by supporting Chin Woo. His leadership is top-notch. I think most minority shareholders will agreed, without Chin Woo’s effort, the minority would have been in a much inferior position...
Read more

Wolf Money(My views on Great Eastern offer)

-
Image
   (Image credit: NLB archive: Singapore Press Holdings; An old article on OCBC previous takeover of GEH in 2006. Is the end game near for the longest takeover exercise in Singapore corporate history that stretches across two decades?) Great Eastern Holdings(extract from end May portfolio update) First of all before I go further, the views shared are mine, alone. It doesn’t reflect anybody views and it is also not to undermine the good work of the independent financial advisors which are been tasked to assess the fairness of this voluntary unconditional general offer by OCBC. Kindly do take my commentary with a pinch of salt given my vested interest in GEH. My view shouldn’t be taken as cardinal truth on what you should do with your GEH shares. Kindly do your own due diligence and seek professional advice. I praise and thank OCBC for starting the ball rolling with this privatisation offer. I believe the bank is capable of doing more for Great Eastern’s minorities. The offer of...
Read more