Wolf Money(world market review 11-17 Aug 2025)
Market Summary 11-17 Aug 2025
*USA*
-US national debt surpassed US$37 trillion
+ US possible Fed chair pick David Zervos said he would back more drastic interest rate cuts
+ US retail and food services sales up 0.5% MoM to reach US$726.3bn in Jul; retail and food services sales up 3.9% on yearly basis
-US Consumer Sentiment Index slid 5% MoM in Aug at 58.6, plunged 13.7% on annual level
-US business inventories rose 0.2% MoM in Jun, reached US$2,660.3bn, up by 1.6% on annual basis
± US industrial production fell 0.1% MoM in Jul; mining and utilities output down by 0.4% and 0.2% respectively
+ US CPI increased a seasonally adjusted 0.2% in Jul n up 2.7% YoY, less than expected amid tariff worries
-US consumer sentiment dropped to 58.6 in Aug, down from 61.7 in Jul, vs market expectations of 62
-US PPI for final demand rose 0.9% MoM in Jul, biggest monthly increase since Jun 2022; sign of higher prices could soon filter down to consumers
-US posted budget deficit of US$291bn in Jul; receipts reached US$338bn, outlays hit US$630bn; led by social security, Medicare n net interest
+ Bassent: an aggressive half-point cut was possible given weak employment numbers
± US govt to shed 300,000 workers this year: Trump’s HR chief forecasts
+ Trump n Putin meet in Alaska over Ukraine
+ Trump to allow Nvidia n AMD to sell advanced AI chips to China in exchange for 15% of revenue from the sales
+ US, China extend tariff truce by 90 days, trade team will meet Chinese officials in 2 or 3 mths: Bassent
-US reportedly places trackers in AI chip shipments to catch diversions to China: Reuters
+ US mortgage applications jump by 10.9% in week ending Aug 8
+ US crude oil production expected to reach all-time high of 13.41m bpd in 2025 before drop: EIA
+ US net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term US securities rise for 2nd straight mth in Jun
+ Fed announced that it no longer needs its novel activities supervision program, aimed at boosting scrutiny of crypto-assets banks
+ US to explore cooperation with Pakistan on critical minerals, hydrocarbons
-Trump told reporters he will introduce tariffs on steel and chips next week
+ Intel rose 8% on report that US govt is exploring a plan to buy a stake in the chipmaker
+ Berkshire Hathaway reduced stake in Apple by 6.7% to 280m shares, purchased >5m shares in UnitedHealth for nearly US$1.6bn
+ OpenAI to spend trillions on data centres: Altman
-IEA: global oil supply set to outpace demand through 2026, forecasting growth of 2.5m bpd this yr and 1.9m bpd in 2026
*CHINA*
+ PBoC will implement “moderately accommodative monetary policy in detail n carefully manage” the intensity and pace of policy implementation, to maintain ample liquidity n foster favourable financial environment
+ PBoC will conduct ¥500bn (US$69bn) of outright reverse repos to maintain liquidity
+ China’s top political advisory body called for easing property n other market restrictions to boost spending among the wealthy
-China’s new home prices in 70 cities fell at slightly faster pace in Jul, prices down 0.3% in Jul MoM, down 3.4% on yearly basis
+ China’s total imports and exports of goods rose 6.7% YoY, up by 1.5% MoM, Exports of goods increased 8% YoY, up 0.8% MoM
+ China’s industrial production up 5.7% YoY in Jul, up 0.38% on monthly basis: NBS
+ China’s retail sales up 3.7% YoY in Jul, vs 4.8% growth in Jun, slowest pace since Dec 2024
+ China will offer interest subsidies for consumption loans for individuals n business entities in consumer services sector for the first time
-China’s new yuan loans contracted in Jul for the first time in 20 years
+ China’s commercial banks NPL declined by ¥2.4bn QoQ to ¥3.4 trillion as of end Jun, NPL ratio improved 0.02% to 1.49%
+ China’s first homegrown commercial electron beam lithography machine ‘Xizhi’ has entered testing phase
+ Sinopec discovered another deep shale gas field with >100bn cubic meters reserves in southwestern region of China
+ China’s infrastructure buildup to play bigger role for investment in coming mths
+ Chinese mega dam stops using Western industrial chips over security concerns
+ China allocated ¥188bn in ultro-long special treasury bond funds to support equipment upgrades across major economic sectors
+ China unveiled new stimulus plan to provide subsidies on qualified personal consumer loans with maximum of ¥3000 per person
+ China State Shipbuilding Corp CSSC and CSIC halted trading, paving way to form world’s biggest shipbuilding giant
+ China’s express delivery sector handled 112.05bn parcels in first 7 mths, up 18.7% YoY
-China sanctioned 2 Lithuanian banks in response to EU targeting Chinese lenders over Russia sanctions
-China filed lawsuit against Canada at WTO over import restrictions on steel and other products
-China to impose temporary anti-dumping measure on imported halogenated bytyl rubber from Canada, Japan
-China’s urban surveyed unemployment rate came in at 5.2% Jul, marking 0.2% MoM increase
+ Hainan rolled out 3-year action plan to boost local development of marine tourism, aiming to generate > ¥40bn in revenue and attract 18m tourists by 2027
+ Chinese robot firm Unitree Robotics humanoid robot won first gold mdeal at inaugural World Humanoid Robot Games
-China Evergrande to delist from HKSE on Aug 25
*EUROPPE*
+ Eurozone, EU GDP rose 0.1% and 0.2% QoQ in Q2, expanded 1.4% and 1.5% YoY
-Eurozone’s industrial production down by 1.3% MoM in Jun; decline 1% in entire EU
-EU trying to prevent US from targeting the bloc’s digital rules, holds up trade statement with US
+ UK’s GDP rose 0.3% QoQ in Q2
-UK’s trade deficit widens to £9.2bn in Q2; industrial production up 0.7% MoM in Jun
-Russian says demands are unchanged: full Ukrainian withdrawal from regions that Moscow claims
Russia plans to extend current gasoline export ban that set to expire end Aug, through Sept
*ASIA*
+ Japan’s GDP grew 0.3% QoQ in Q2
+ Japan’s PPI rose by 2.6% YoY in Jul
+ Japan’s industrial output up by 2.1% in Jun at 103.7
-India’s merchandise trade deficit hit 8-mth high of >US$27bn in Jul, imports surged faster than exports ahead of US new tariffs
-India-US trade talks scheduled for Aug called off
+ Thailand’s lower house passed a US$117bn annual budget to revive economy
+ Malaysia’s GDP grows 4.4% in Q2, unchanged from Q1, driven by robust domestic demand
+ Sg NODX grew 7.1% in Q2, extending the 3.3% growth of Q1; electronic shipments for q2 rose 10.5% YoY
+ Sg upgraded GDP growth forecast to 1.5% - 2.5%, from 0% - 2%; economy grew 4.4% in Q2
+ Sg life insurance new business premiums surge 7.7% to nearly S$3bn in H1, claims payout fall 42%
Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.
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