Wolf Money(world market review 8-14 Dec 2025)
Market Summary 8-14 Dec 2025
*USA*
+ Fed cuts interest rates by 25bps to 3.5%-3.75%
-US job market seems to have significant downside risks: Powell
± US wholesale inventories up 0.5% in Sept MoM at US$911.5bn, 1.8% higher on annual basis
+ US sells US$21.9bn in 39-year 11 mths bonds at 4.773% yield; US$39bn in 20-year notes at 4.175% yield
+ US 10Y Treasury rose toward 4.2%, highest since early Sept
-US trade deficit at US$52.8bn in Sept, down 10.9% from Aug
-US Treasury completed a US$12.5bn buyback of its own debt, largest repurchase in recent history
-US bank reserves fell to US$2.83 trillion from 2021 peak of US$4.27 trillion
-US will not publish PPI data for Oct, data for Nov will be released on Jan 14, 2026
+ US number of job openings remained unchanged at 7.7m in Oct
-US initial jobless claims up by 44,000 to 236,000
± Trump says he is leaning toward Warsh or Hassett to lead the Fed: WSJ
+ Dow and S&P 500 boasted record closing highs this week
+ Nasdaq filed a new rule that allows to block IPOs even when companies meet all listing standards but vulnerable to manipulation
+ White House will work with Congress to craft a single national framework to regulate developments in the field of AI
± US launches pact with allies (Japan, S Korea, Singapore, Australia, Israel) to secure supply chains for minerals needed for AI
+ Trump expected to push the govt to dramatically loosen federal restrictions on marijuana
+ US to allow Nvidia H200 chip exports to China
+ Nvidia considers increasing H200 chip output, China demand is exceeding current output level: sources
-US said to have seized military cargo from China to Iran
+ Microsoft unveiled US$29.8bn in new AI investments with big focus on India
+ Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos said seeking to build data centres in orbit
+ SpaceX share sales sets US$800bn valuation
+ Disney to make US$1bn equity investment to bind OpenAI, 200 IPs + Sora
*SOUTH AMERICA^
+ Brazil and Argentina are on track for record soybean and wheat harvests, pushing US grain futures down
-Mexico’s Senate approved tariff hikes of up 50% on imports from China and several Asian countries
*CHINA*
+ China’s GDP projected to hit around ¥140bn (US$19.8 trillion) in 2025: official
+ China’s CPI rose by 0.7% in Nov at 20-mth high, accelerating from Oct’s 0.2% increase
-China’s PPI dropped 2.2% YoY, slightly below market expectations
+ China promised to maintain a “proactive” fiscal policy in 2026 and would stimulate both consumption and investment to maintain high growth
+ China to boost exports, imports in 2026, seeking sustainable trade: official
+ China stabilisation and recovery of investment was one of the key economic tasks for 2026 laid out at Chinese govt’s Central Economic work Conference
+ China to make real estate market stabilisation a main priority for next year, authorities signalling intensified push to reduce housing inventory
+ China will “encourage and support service exports” in 2026, “service exports” were specifically mentioned for the first time during the latest conference
+ China’s trade surplus exceeded the record of US$1 trillion
+ China may cut reserve requirements in Q1, lower rates in Q2: StanChart
+ Chinese banks extended ¥390bn in new loans in Nov, up from ¥220bn in Oct
+ China total of 377 small lenders have merged or shut down so far in 2025, up from 195 for the whole last year
+ China will further reduce the number of small and medium-sized financial institutions and improve their quality in 2026 , to prevent financial risks n deepen reforms in the capital market
+ China to extend subsidies for consumer goods trade-ins, equipment upgrades into 2026
+ China to implement loose monetary policy, strengthen financial support for domestic expansion, tech innovation, SMEs
+ China govt organized a meeting with country’s largest tech companies to discuss the option of allowing them to purchase Nvidia’s H200 chips: sources
-China is ‘rejecting’ Nvidia’s H200 chips, outfoxing US strategy, weighing a package of incentives worth up to US$70bn to support its local chip making industry: WH AI czar David Sacks
+ China’s largest province GD aims to double its economy by 2035, lift its per capital GDP to level of moderately developed country
-China issued >10 trillion (US$1.41 trillion) in local govt bonds in first 11 mths, about 62% used to repay maturing obligations and hidden debts, 38% directed to major project construction: Enterprise Early Warning Platform
+ China’s foreign reserves rose by US$3bn to US$3.3464 as of Nov 30 hitting 10-year high; gold-buying rush continues
+ China’s exports rose 5.9% to USD330.3bn YoY in Nov, imports up 1.9% to US$218.7bn, overall foreign trade rose 4.3% to US$549bn
+ Hainan island gets ready to become China’s first Free Trade Port on Dec 18
-Fitch Ratings revised China’s sovereign outlook for 2026 from “neutral” to “deteriorating” due to weak domestic demand and deflationary pressures
-China Vanke bondholders rejected payment extension, raising default risk
-Wanda seeks to delay payment on US$400m bond
+ China’s grain total output hitting record high of 714.88m tonnes in 2025: NBS
+ Changan Automobile adds Italy and Spain to its European markets
+ Shenzhen to open China’s first robot-friendly demonstration zone
+ Huawei latest smartphone uses Kirin 9030 chip, produced by SMIC with an upgraded 7-nanmoeter process
*EUROPE*
+ ECB proposed to simplify the regulatory framework for banks in EU, including streaming banks’ capital requirements n buffers
-EU-India unlikely to finalise trade agreement by end of year
± Airbus CEO: Boeing likely to win order race in 2025 after help from Trump’s tariff deals
+ German trade surplus at €16.9bn in Oct, up from €15.3bn recorded in Sept
-UK’s GDP contracted by 0.1% in Oct, trade deficit at £6.7bn in 3 mths to Oct
-Italy tax authorities and Amazon reached a settlement to pay total of €723m to Italy govt
-Russia’s oil export revenues hit the lowest monthly level since the Ukraine invasion due to falling volumes and prices
-Russia sued EU’s frozen asset custodian Euroclear
*ASIA*
± BOJ to pledge more rate hikes at next week’s policy meeting
± Japan’s PPI rose by 2.7% YoY in Nov
+ India has cut red tape to speed business visas for Chinese professionals
-Indonesia to require exporters of coal, palm oil and nickel to keep all export proceeds in state-owned banks for at 1-year
+ Indonesia expects to wrap up US tariff talks by year-end
+ India’s cabinet approved opening up of nuclear, insurance sectors: sources
-Thailand PM vowed to continue military actions against Cambodia “until we feel no more harm and threats to our land and people”
+ Malaysia Ringgit hits 3-year high against SGD, 4-year high versus USD
+ Malaysia’s Oct industrial production up 6%, beating forecast
+ Malaysia to break ground on Southern Agropolis in Jan, flagship Agrifood hub of Johor-SG SEZ
-Sg job data released with retrenchment climbing in Q3 at 3670, up from 3540 in Q2, job vacancies continued to drop
-Sg hiring sentiment set to slow significantly in Q1 to its lowest level since 2022
-Sg insurers brace for 2026 as medical inflation climbs and IP rules tightens
+ Temasek co-owned world’s largest airline caterer Gategroup is preparing for an IPO as soon as H2 of 2026
Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.
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