Wolf Money(world market review 22-28 Aug 2022)




Lim Leong Seng Singapore 1950
New Era circa 1976 remade 2022
Collection of National Gallery Singapore


Market Summary 22-28 Aug 2022

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- Fed will raise rates as high as needed to restrict growth, would keep them there “for some time” to bring down inflation: Powell

+ US retail sales little changed in July amid fall in gas prices and auto sales 

- US PMI Composite Output Index stood at 45 at 27-mth low in Aug: S&P

- Dow tumbled 1000 points on Friday after Powell warning on ‘pain’ to business and households 

- US 2nd Qtr GDP declined by 0.6% less than previously thought, revised upward from advance estimate in July of 1.9% 

- Biden singed executive order on US$52bn bills allow implementation of funding to boost production of chips 

+ Biden administration to cancel at least US$10k in student loan debt 

- US adds 7 Chinese aerospace and chip firms to export blacklist 

- US to suspend 26 flights by Chinese airlines next mth in dispute over China’s strict policies over Covid-19 

- US new home sales down by 12.6% in July vs previous mth, down 29.6% YoY

- US crude inventories down 3.3m barrels: EIA 

- Moderna sued Pfizer/BinNTech for patent infringement, accused rival of copying mRNA technology before pandemic 

- Citigroup to wind down operations in Russia as there is no buyers 

+ California set to ban fossil fuel cars by 2035 

- US congressional delegation arrives in Taiwan 

+ Apple to manufacture iPhone 14 in India, seek alternative location to China 

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+ China major industrial firms’ profits fell 1.1% YoY to ¥4.89 trillion (US$712bn) in first 7th mth: NBS  

+ China issued 19 policy measures to stabilise economy 

+ China >20 municipalities cut down payment requirements by 10-20% points for buyers of second homes 

+ PBoC cuts lending rates for 2nd consecutive week for 1-year and 5-year loan prime rates, yuan fell to near 2-year low 

- Chinese regulators warn against monopolies, hoarding in photovoltaic industry 

+ China, US reached agreement on year-long audit dispute for listed firms to avert delisting 

- China’s drought causes Yangtze to dry up, sparking shortage of hydropower   

- China Southwest province extends factory power cuts amid scorching weather

+ Beijing to subsidise charging stations for hydrogen-powered cars push to develop clean energy source  

+ Li Keqiang called for acceleration of 2nd-phase FTA talks between South Korea 

- China Int’l Marine Containers and Maersk Container Industry ditched US$987m deal after US probe 

+ CATL working on new materials technology would allow vehicle to travel 700km on single charge 

+ SMIC to build US$7.5bn plant in Tianjin to ramp up capacity 

+ Huawei must shift focus to profits and cash flow from revenue growth to gird for existential threats: Ren ZF 

- China ordered Didi, Meituan and 9 others to step up business compliance and control risks 

+ Baidu revealed its first quantum computer ‘ Qianshi’

+ Xiaomi in talks with BAIC to reach goal of making cars 

+ Chinese EV maker Leapmotor approved for US$1.5bn HK IPO

- Taiwan proposed record military spending, up by 13.9% to US$19.41bn, 15% of total govt expenditure  

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- Japan CPI rose 2.4% YoY at fastest rice in >7 years

+ Japan to ease pandemic-related border restrictions, scrapping pre-departure Covid-19 tests 

- BOJ stresses need to maintain ultra-loose policy 

- Japan’s Aug business activity down for the first time in 6 mths 

- Tokyo core consumer prices jumped 2.6% in Aug YoY at fastest pace in 8 years 

- BOJ will likely cut its economic forecasts at is next quarterly review in Oct on soft spending: ex-central bank executive 

+ Panasonic in talks for US$4bn battery plant in US: WSJ

+ Russia says ready to extend spaceflight sharing deal with US 

- Canada considers direct LNG export to Europe 

+ Toronto-based New Performance Material, rare earths processor buys right to mine in Greenland 

+ Mexico launched state-owned lithium miner in nationalisation push 

+ EV batteries expected to reach US$240bn by 2030 globally, demand to exceeding 3.5 terawatt hrs: Chinese official  

- Bitcoin dips below US$20,000

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท 

- Eurozone economy index drops to its lowest level in 18 mths 

- ECB expected to increase key interest rates by 50 basis points: Nordea 

- EU composite PMI fell from 49.9 to 49.2, survey hints at eurozone economy in contraction 

- Euro area inflation likely to reach new record high of >10% in Q4: Bundesbank 

- EU business activity declined for 2nd consecutive mth in Aug

+ EU allowed Russia to make payments for oil transit 

- German recession increasingly likely and inflation will continue to accelerate, could peak at >10% this autumn: Bundesbank

+ Germany’s GDP adjusted for price, seasonal and calendar variations grew 0.1% in Q2 

+ Germany won’t keep nuclear plants in function to save gas: Minister 

+ Germany’s natural gas storage filled >80%, surpassing target of 75%  

+ Germany and Canada signed hydrogen pact

- UK revised data 2020 showed its economy shrank 11%, largest drop in 300 years  

- UK inflation set to peak at 18% in early 2023, 9 times BoE’s target: Citi forecasts 

- UK announced 80% hike in electricity and gas bill 

- UK workers at largest container port begun an 8-day strike, demand higher pay amid sky-high inflation 

- France private sector contracts in Aug for the first time since pandemic related disruptions in early 2021: S&P

- France President: “effort and sacrifice” are needed for the country to get through the winter 

+ Greece exits from EU enhanced surveillance framework  

- Turkey’s consumer confidence strengthened further in Aug to reach its highest level in 5 mths 

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- Air New Zealand posted 3rd straight loss due to sky-high fuel, labour costs 

+ India’s central bank Governor asserted that country’s inflation has peaked and will slow down in coming mths 

- South Korea central bank raises key interest rate by a quarter-percentage point to 2.5% 

- South Korea’s trade deficit topped US$10bn in first 20 days of Aug due to faster growth in imports 

+ South Korea wins US$2.5bn order to build Egypt’s first nuclear plant 

+ Iran and Russia struck deal on natural gas swap and imports 

+ Sri Lanka President to meet IMF to finalise bailout package of US$3bn

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+ Indonesia govt reiterated plan to create bullion bank to end dependence on ‘parking’ gold reserves in Singapore 

- Bank Indonesia raised policy rate by 25bp to 3.75% ahead fuel price increase 

- Indonesia inflation may exceed 4% next year: BI

- Indonesia 2nd phase MRT expansion increased by 15.5% to US$2.5bn 

+ Garuda to double number of aircraft in operation by end 2022

+ Thailand’s Q2 jobless rate fell to 1.37%, lowest since pandemic in early 2020  

- Thailand household debt surged to highest level in 16 years 

+ Cambodia to issue first-ever sovereign bond worth US$300m in Sept 

+ Malaysia hopes to revive KL-SG HSR project, transport minister in talks with Singaporean counterpart 

+ Malaysia keen to learn from Thailand on use of medical cannabis products 

- Maybank’s net profit down 5.4% in Q2 as credit loss doubles 

+ Malaysia ranked world’s 3rd most competitive Global Business Services (GBS) location, behind India and China 

- Malaysia’s ex-PM Najib has been sent to jail to begin serving 12-year sentence, after final appeal fails 

- Najib ‘highly likely’ will get royal pardon: Mahathir 

- Sg headline CPI increased for 3rd straight mth in July at 7%, core inflation rose further to 4.8% vs 4.4% in June

- Sg factory output growth slow to 0.6% in July as electronic output falls vs expectations of 5.3%

- CFP Investment Scheme fund performance down 14% last year

- MAS asks crypto firms to submit business data

+ Sg F1 race 2022 to see biggest turnout since 2008, tickets expected to sell out: Minister 

+ Sg to lift requirement for travellers not fully vaccinated entering to undergo 7-day stay-home notice 

+ PropertyGuru quarterly earnings back in black 1st time since US listing 


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Disclaimers 

All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. All information provided are for information only. Buyer beware,do you own due diligence.

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