Wolf Money(world market review 5-11 Dec 2022)




Heman Chong Malaysia 1977

God Bless Diana circa 2004

Collection of Singapore Art Museum 


Market Summary 5-11 Dec 2022

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+ US consumer sentiment improved in Dec at 59.1 up from 56.8 in Nov, inflation expectations eased to 15-mth low  

+ US producer prices rose slightly in Nov, annual inflation at factory gate posting smallest increase in 1.5 years 

+ Biden declared comeback of US manufacturing at giant semiconductor project in Phoenix 

+ US can avoid recession; no wage-price spiral and supply chain bottlenecks starting to ease: Yellen 

- US households lost US$6.84 trillion in wealth over first 3 qtrs of 2022: Fed 

- US weekly jobless claims rise; continuing claims at 10-mth high towards end Nov 

- US panel says oil companies are ‘lying’ about promises to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 

+ US national average gas prices plunged below year ago levels  

+ Chevron to invest US$4bn in Permain in 2023 to boost US shale production 

+ Exxon, Chevron to spend billions more on oil projects next year 

- US wholesale inventories revised lower in Oct, rose 0.5% instead of 0.8% as reported 

- US has allocated US$11bn on cyberattacks in 2023: Russia 

- US plans to impose new sanctions against Russia and China over rights abuses 

- US officials proposing to levy tariffs on steel and aluminium based on carbon emissions

- Trump’s real estate firm convicted of carrying out 15-year-long criminal scheme to defraud tax authorities 

+ Tesla delivered 100,291 China-made EVs in Nov, highest monthly sales since opening its Shanghai factory in 2020 

- Musk says executive of possibly suppressing information about Twitter’s handling of Hunter Biden laptop story 

- FTX former CEO Sam Bankman-Fried set to testify remotely before US House committee 

- FTC filed lawsuit to block Microsoft’s proposed US$69bn acquisition of Activision 

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+ Xi called for oil trade in yuan with Gulf states at Gulf Summit in Riyadh, to increase oil and LNG purchases 

+ China offers to use Shanghai exchange for yuan energy deals with Gulf nations

+ China’s consumer price index rose 1.6% in Nov YoY, easing from 2.1% rise in Oct 

+ China’s factory-gate prices showed annual fall for 2nd mth in Nov, PPI down 1.3% YoY 

+ China’s foreign trade volume up 8.6% in first 11 mths 

- China’s exports sank 8.7% to US$296.1bn, imports fell 10.6% to US$226.2bn YoY in Nov, lowest since 2020 amid Covid curbs 

+ China issued 5bn yuan (US$716.32m) worth of treasury bonds in HK 

+ China to roll over 750bn yuan (US$108bn) of special sovereign bonds, debt from 2007: Ministry 

+ China’s forex reserves see largest single-mth increase since 2013 in Nov, climbing back above US$3.1 trillion 

+ China up gold reserves 1st time in >3 years, raised holdings to 63.67m troy ounces end Nov from 62.64, value rose to US$111.65bn 

+ Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exchange brought in record US$92bn in 2022, global tally for IPO proceeds to 46%

+ China buys Russian oil at multi-mth low discounts, brushes off price cap 

+ Chinese banks opening >3 trillion yuan (US$431bn) in lines of credit for cash-strapped real estate companies 

- Sunac property unveiled US$9bn debt restructuring plan 

+ China to resume refinancing of listed real estate companies to stabilize housing sector 

+ China’s new-energy vehicles expected to reach 6.5m this year 

+ China delivers first homegrown plane C919 to China Eastern Airlines Corp 

+ China more passengers are expected to hit the road after significantly loosen anti-Covid restrictions 

+ Chinese firms are showing renewed interest in Australian acquisition targets, but “the signs are still tentative”: Reuters 

+ Chinese firms expect new peak in cooperation with Saudi Arabia following Xi’s visit 

+ Huawei licenses key 5G to Oppo, Samsung amid US crackdown 

+ China-made 2nd mRNA Covid shot approved overseas in Laos after Indonesia endorsement of Walvax-Abogen 

+ China announced latest changes to Covid-19, released 10 optimised measure Covid-19 control policy 

+ Hangzhou court ruled NFT collection as virtual assets 

- Taiwan’s exports in Nov down 13.1% to US$36.13bn YoY, lowest figure in 19 mths and sharpest fall in almost 7 years  

- Taiwan mulls take China to WTO after China banned import of more Taiwanese food and drink products 

+ TSMC says it will more than triple its investment in a giant US plant to $40bn

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- Japan’s service-sector activity growth hits 3-mth low 

+ Japan to extend tax reduction for owners of eco-friendly vehicles beyond end date of April, citing semiconductor shortages  

+ Japan’s world cup performance will generate up to ¥16.3bn in economic effects: think-tank 

+ Japan’s household spending up 1.2% in Oct YoY on recovering tourism 

- Japan’s economy is set to enter recession in 2023: Capital Economics 

- Russia set an import tax of 35% on imports from unfriendly countries 

- Russia to cut oil production over West’s price cap: Putin 

+ Russia is selling crude oil to Asia above US$60 price cap 

- Canada’s central bank raised rates at record pace to 4.25%, highest level in 15 years 

- OPEC misses production quota by 310,000 bpd 

+ Global aviation industry expected to finally end years losses with net profit of US$4.7bn in 2023, first since 2019: 

- Wheat prices touch 14-mth low on surging Russian exports 

+ Iron ore rose to highest level in 4 mths on signs Chinese authorities to announce more support for property sector 

- Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, poised to instruct lenders set aside capital matches value of certain cryptocurrencies in their holdings  

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+ Eurozone banks set to repay early another €447.5bn in multi-year loans from ECB 

- EU moves to limit financial link with post-Brexit London 

- EU dozen countries made a push to “significantly” lower planned EU cap on gas prices 

- European house prices maybe on the verge of falling: financial watchdog

+ EU ¾ member states boosted their trade turnover with Russia in first 8th mth 

- EU escalates WTO case against China over patents, Lithuania 

- Germany arrested 25 suspected in raids on suspicion of plotting to overthrow the govt 

- Germany opens Wirecard trial over biggest-ever accounting scandal

- UK’s economy on course to shrink 0.45 next year as inflation remains high and firms put investment on hold 

- UK airport staff plan Christmas walkout, joining strike wave

- UK house prices recorded biggest mthly drop since 2008 in Nov, down by 2.8%: RICS 

+ UK govt greenlights French Schneider Electric’s US$12bn Aveva takeover

- France economy on course to finish the year with slightly positive growth in 4th qtr of 0.1%: central bank 

- French TotalEnergies giving up stake in Russian gas producer Novatek, to lose billions of dollars as it unable to sell stake 

+ Credit Suisse raised 2.24bn Swiss francs in rights offering approved by shareholders in Nov 

+ Greece, Bulgaria discussed oil pipeline bypassing Bosphorus Strait 

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- Australia’s central bank raised interest rates to 10-year high to 3.1% 

+ Australia targets EU trade deal in H1 of 2023: Minister 

- Australia fines Uber US$14m for misleading on fares, cancellations 

- Australian energy caps are necessary intervention: Minister 

- New Zealand plans law to require Google, FB to pay for news 

- India’s central bank raised key policy rate by 35 bps to 6.25%, 5th straight increase and highest in >3 years 

+ Tata Gp to establish chip production in India next few years

+ India signals to continue buying oil from Russia 

+ Air India is close to signing agreement with Boeing for up to 150 of its 737 MAX

- South Korea nearly 100 petrol stations across country run out of fuel as 25,000 truckers’ strike 

- Seoul and Brussels should coordinate responses to large-scale subsidy package adopted by US: S Korea Trade Minister 

+ South Korea President pledges to expand free trade agreements into Middle East, Central and South America

- South Korea orders striking steel, petrochemical truckers back to work 

+ Hyundai and SK to build EV battery plant in Georgia 

+ Saudi Arabia reported first budget surplus in a decade 

+ Saudi Arabia signed MOU with Huawei on cloud computing and building high-tech complexes in Saudi cities  

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+ Indonesia to continue to develop nickel downstream industry program despite losing lawsuit by EU at WTO over nickel ore export ban: Jokowi 

- Indonesia adopts law banning extramarital sex, raises penalties on abortions as part of legislation 

- Indonesia GoTo lost almost 70% of its valuation since IPO in Apr, at about half Grab’s value, worst large size tech IPO in 2022

+ Thailand hits 10m visitors in 2022 as tourism recovers 

- Vietnam coffee expected to drop by a 5th in current crop year due to extended rains, lower level of nutrition  

+ Vietnam Airlines resumes China flights after 3-year pandemic halt 

- Philippines inflation rose more than expected to 14-year high in Nov of 8% 

+ Malaysia 5 working papers to combat cost of living to be tabled in NACCOL meeting 

+ Malaysia’s wholesale and retail trade growth 15.2% to RM133.9bni n Oct 

+ KL is 32nd most expensive city for expatriates in Asia, fallen 5 places globally to 167th position: ECA Int’ ranking 

+ Sg retail sales up 10.4% YoY in Oct, extending previous mth’s 11.3% growth 

+ Sg unemployment rate slid to 2% in Oct; resident jobless at 2.8%, citizen unemployment at 3% 

- Sg unsold private housing stock hits 15-year low, inventory expected to stay low in coming year 

+ Sg need carbon credits or nuclear energy to reach net zero by 2050: Minister 

- Sg average hotel room rates hit 14-year high in Sept 2022

- Sg median rents for 3-bedroom condos in Orchard hit S$15,000 in Nov

- Temasek-backed Cyrptocurrency trading firm Amber Gp ditches expansion plans after denying insolvency 


Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.

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