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Showing posts from January, 2024

Wolf Money(Singapore Savings Bonds Feb 2024 result)

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  A crash in SSBs bond yield to 2.81% also ushered in a big drop in demand. Only $175.2m of the $900m issued found buyers this month. Yield will be slightly better for March SSBs. Thank you. God Bless. Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you. Please consider following us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below. No form filling, no payment required, no collection of data, no data mining, no hard selling, no obligation.  https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1 Disclaimers   All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which ...

Wolf Money(world market review 22-28 Jan 2024)

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Unknown artist Philippines  Relief of Last Super circa 19th century  Collection of Asian Civilisations Museum  Market Summary 22-28 Jan 2024 *USA*  + US GDP grew at 3.3% annualised rate in Q4, economy for all of 2023 accelerated at 2.5%  + US personal spending grew 0.7% MoM in Dec 23, US$133.9bn up in current-dollar PCE + US core PCE exclude food n energy rose 0.2%, personal income up 0.3% MoM in Dec, following 0.4% advance in Nov  + US new single-family houses up 8% MoM to seasonally adjusted annualised rate of 664,000 in Dec 23  + US pending home sales soared 8.3% MoM in Dec 23 vs forecasts of 1.5% increase + US core personal consumption expenditure price index up 2% from previous period in final qtr  - Yellen says not yet clear where interest rates will settle after volatility of pandemic and post-Covid recovery  + US expected to award billions of dollars in subsidies to top semiconductor firms including Intel, TSMC: WSJ   + US chipma...

Wolf Money(Singapore Savings Bonds Feb 2024 review)

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  (Credit: MAS) The prediction of an unattractive Feb 2024 SSBs issue came true. The yield dropped from year high of 3.4% to a 12 months low of 2.81% in a space of two months was a big move. This month SSBs is paying a yield of 2.81%. The 60 points swing in 2 months is nothing I have seen before. This month SSBs mimic the substantial drop in yield on the 10 years SGS yield. I suspect the current issue will be poorly received by yield hungry investors. The yield for March issue will be higher than Feb issue. I probably skip this month SSBs. The closing date for this month issue is on 26th Jan 2024. God Bless. Please consider following us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below. No form filling, no payment required, no collection of data, no data mining, no hard selling, no obligation.  https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1 Disclaimers   All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We e...

Wolf Money(world market review 15-21 Jan 2024)

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Semsar Siahaan Indonesia 1952-2005 Homage to Christo’s Mother circa 1996 Collection of the Singapore Art Museum  Market Summary 15-21 Jan 2024 *USA*  + US year-ahead inflation expectations complied by University of Michigan fell to 2.9% in Jan vs 3.1% previous mth, lowest in 3 yrs   - Fed need more inflation data in hand before any rate cut: Chicago Fed President   + US retail sales rose 0.6% MoM in Dec, topping expectations for holiday shopping  + US consumer sentiment soared to 78.8 in Jan, highest since July 2021: University of Michigan + US unemployment benefits fell by 16,000 to 187,000 to 16-mth low  + US manufacturing output edged up 0.1% in Dec  - US business inventories fell for 2nd straight mth in Nov amid declines in retail and wholesale stocks  + US congress approved short-term funding bill to avoid govt shutdown + US average rate on 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 8-mth low - US existing-home sales dropped by 1% MoM to seasonally adjus...

Wolf Money(Ping An Insurance, HKEx: 2318)

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  Ping An Insurance(HKEx: 2318) The current valuation of Chinese companies under a normal economic cycle is low. Is this a normal economic cycle? The low price had perk the interest of Lone Wolf. I had put in a token sum into HKEx listed Ping An Insurance. I have no idea whether the price I got in was a good price. It does look cheap on paper like many other Chinese stocks. The financial matrix looks ok to me. The stock is trading at 0.55x p/b about 5x p/e with a high historical dividend of 9% and ROE. A corrective stock market is negative for them, given insurer within their normal course of business is expose to the volatility of the stock market. I am expecting a very difficult year for the company given the slump in the stock market. The small purchase adds another sector to my portfolio. A small nibble to get a feel of what is going on in the Chinese equity market, no serious money is involved. More commentary in the month end portfolio review. Please consider following us on ...

Wolf Bargain(BYD Cafe by 1826)

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(BYD Atto 3 sells for less than $150,000) BYD has become the largest producer of EV in the world, overtaking Tesla recently. Today’s bargain has nothing to do with their EV, although, admittedly, their EVs are selling at very attractive prices. One could get a BYD EV for less than $150,000 including COE. Will anyone go for a meal in a showroom? I will.  (The most affordable 4-course meal, the bright yellow sign is hard to miss) (Cafe is modern and spacious) BYD launched their showroom in Suntec City only a few months back. The showroom cum café is a new concept in the car trade. Beside showcasing their latest EV offerings, it has a full-service café. I was there to try out their food, in particular the wallet-friendly lunch set. The 4-course lunch set is only $14 per person excluding taxes. It must be the lowest priced 4-course set meal I ever came across anywhere. Patrons get an appetizer, a main, a dessert and a drink. The lunch offering is decent. Other than the small salad port...

Wolf Money(World market review 8-14 Jan 2024)

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 Juan Luna Philippines 1857-1899  Woman in Manton circa 1880s Collection of Ayala Museum, Manila Gift of Mercedes Zobel McMicking  Market Summary 8-14 Jan 2024 *USA*  - US annual inflation rate went up to 3.4% in Dec from 5 mths low of 3.1% in Nov, vs forecast of 3.2%, core CPI at 3.9% YoY   - US federal budget deficit reached half a trillion dollars in first 3 mths of new fiscal year started Oct 1 2023, up by 21%  + US core PPI, exclude food and energy costs, remained unchanged for 3rd mth in Dec, up 1.8% on yearly basis in Dec  - US producer prices declined 0.1% MoM in Dec, goods cost down 0.4%, 3rd consecutive decline, mainly due to 12.4% fall in diesel + US applications for jobless benefits fell to lowest level in 12 weeks  - FAA is launching an investigation into Boeing’s quality control - Trump’s potential election as US president is “clearly a threat” to Europe: ECB Christine Lagarde  - JPMorgan CEO: Cryptocurrencies facilitate illegal...

Wolf Money(Lone Wolf Investor 3rd anniversary and introduction)

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  (Free Image Credit: Freepik) Welcome to the new investment year when everyone starts on a clean slate. If you have done well last year, give yourself a pat on the back, if you had not done so, there is no need to be despondent. Just dust yourself off and carry on. I wish everyone a profitable year ahead. For those who are new to my blog, let me take this opportunity to welcome you. I hope you enjoy reading my blog as much as I enjoy writing it. Let me make a formal introduction of myself and the purpose of my blog. Today is the third anniversary of Lone Wolf Investor. The blog was officially launched on the 10th of Jan 2021, at the height of the COVID 19 pandemic. During the pandemic, there was nothing much an individual could do besides exercising and watching tele. A few of my former clients came back to me after I left the stock brokering industry to sow the seeds on sharing my investment ideas. I thought why not start a blog to pen my thoughts on investments and my personal v...

Wolf Money(world market review 1-7 Jan 2024)

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Tree of Life 2023 Manila Galleon: From Asia to Americas Exhibition@ACM  16 Nov 2023 to 17 March 2024 Market Summary 1-7 Jan 2024 *USA*  + US govt debt have reached US$34 trillion for the first time, up >US$6 trillion after Biden took office  + US non-farm payroll added 216,000 jobs in Dec 23, well above market forecasts of 170,000 + US employment continued to trend up in govt (52k), leisure and hospitality (40k), health care (38k), social assistance (21k), construction (17k), while transportation and warehousing lost jobs (-23k), little change in other major industries  + US private payrolls increased by 164,000 jobs in Dec, largest monthly increase since Aug: ADP + US factory orders up 2.6% MoM in Nov 23, better than market forecasts of 2.1%, biggest gain since Jan 2021  US services growth slows sharply to 50.6 in Dec 23, lowest reading in 7 mths, vs 52.7 in Nov  + US weekly jobless claims fell to 2-mth low, jobless rate held at 3.7% in Dec 23, unchange...

Wolf Review(Elon Musk by Ashlee Vance)

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(Tesla Showroom in Singapore)   (Contents) Happy New Year! It is my first blog of the year, I thought it would be wonderful to start the new year with some healthy reading. It has been a while since I last made a book recommendation. Today’s subject should perk the interest of The Tesla Bulls. I got the book at a book stall in Ho Chi Minh Book Street, during my recent trip to Vietnam. I have read a few books written on Elon Musk. Most books are written by authors trying to look into Elon Musk’s world from the outside. This self-titled book happens to be one of the few books written on Elon with his input and acknowledgment. The book, Elon Musk, How The Billionaire CEO of SpaceX and Tesla Is Shaping Our Future written by Ashlee Vance , was not a new title, it was first published in 2016 when Tesla was just making its mark as an up-start automaker. There were a couple of updates done on the book since. This book is by far the most enjoyable book written about Elon Musk I had read. Th...