Wolf Money(world market review 18-24 Jan 2026)

 

(Image credit: FPCreatives; Canadian PM at Davos)


Market Summary 18-24 Jan 2026

*USA*

+ US Composite PMI Output Index at 52.8 in Jan, vs 52.7 in Dec, Services PMI unchanged at 52.5, remains at 8-mth low  

+ S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI inched up to 51.9 in Jan, vs 51.8 in Dec, in line with market expectations of 52

+ US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) rose 0.5% to US$98.6bn in Nov 

+ US consumer sentiment index revised up to 56.4 in Jan vs 52.9 in Dec; down by 21.3% on annual level

+ US Q3 GDP grew by 4.4% YoY in Q3, up from 4.3%: updated estimate by BEA 

± US initial jobless claims up by 1000 to 200,000; personal income rose 0.3% MoM to US$26.403 trillion in Nov 

-US pending home sales down by 9.3% in Dec

+ US sells US$20.9bn in 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities resulted high yield of 1.94% 

-US private credit investors withdrew >US$7bn from Wall Street’s largest funds in late 2025, Apollo Global, Ares Mgnt, Blackstone, HPS Investment, Blue Owl Capital were among those; pullbacks followed the bankruptcies of First Brands and Tricolor Auto Gp 

+ US individual tax refunds seen rising 20%: Morgan Stanley 

+ Binance founder CZ said he is talking to around a dozen govts about tokenizing some of their assets 

± Trump ordered limiting Wall Street firms from buying single-family homes

-Trump rejected plan to use 401(k) savings for home down payments

-Trump threatened a 100% tariff on imported goods from Canada over China deal 

-Trump may order total blockade on oil imports to Cuba  

+ Trump confirmed he has concluded his search for next Federal Reserve chair

+ US big pharma poised to hike prices in Europe as to maintain profits amid to lower drug costs in US requested by Trump: FT

+ US signals remove 25% tariff imposed on India as it has significantly cut Russia oil imports 

-Trump sued JPMorgan, CEO Jamie Dimon for US$5bn over alleged debanking  

+ BlackRock CEO working on US$800bn plan for Ukraine’s economy: US envoy Witkoff 

± Citigroup to lay off more employees in Mar: sources 

+ OpenAI to seek US$50bn funding round from ME  

+ SpaceX said to link up 4 major banks for IPO

-Elon Musk flags power shortages as AI limiting factor in US, higlights China’s energy edge 

*OTHERS*

+ Global humanoid robot market grows 508% YoY in 2025, with shipping reaching approximately 18,000 units, with Chinese firms leading scaled commercialisation 

+ Gold prices surged to historic high; rose >60% in 2025 

+ IEA sees global oil demand growth in 2026 at average of 930,000 bpd, up from 2025’s average 850,000 bpd 

*CHINA*

± China’s govt likely to set economic growth targets in a range between 4.5% and 5%, providing policy flexibility in 2026: sources  

+ China’s GDP to grow 4.8% in 2026: chief economists 

+ China’s industrial output up 5.3% YoY in Dec 

+ China’s retail trade up 0.9% YoY in Dec 

± China household deposit rises nearly 10% in 2025 as borrowing weakens 

-China’s urban surveyed jobless rate at 5.1% in Dec, unchanged from previous mth 

+ China extends, adjusts consumer loan rate subsidies to boost consumption 

-China’s new home prices fell 0.4% MoM on average across 70 cities, prices slipped 4% YoY in Dec, only 5 out of 70 cities registered MoM gains

+ China’s bank wealth management market reached ¥33.29 trillion end 2025, up 11.5% from beginning of the year 

-China FDI fell 9.5% to ¥747.77bn in 2025, following 24.7% decline in 2024, marking 3rd consecutive yr of contraction 

+ Chinese investors had established >50,000 overseas enterprises across 190 countries and regions, outbound direct investment reached US$174.38bn in 2025, up 7.1% YoY

+ China singed record US$213bn of new “belt and road” deals in 2025: report 

+ China allocates ¥93.6bn in ultra-long special treasury bond to support equipment upgrading in 2026 

+ China signalled a new wave of measures to bolster domestic demand n hi-tech industries in coming years 

± China’s domestic demand weakness to limit growth to 4.1% in 2026: Fitch Ratings 

-China’s birth rate plunges to lowest level since 1949, fell to 5.63 births per 1000 people in 2025 vs 2023’s 6.39 per 1000

-China’s urban jobless rate for 16-24 age group falls to 16.5% in Dec, down 0.4% 

+ China’s market regulator prohibits merge case in public utilities sector for the first time 

-China has tools to step up trade curbs on Japan amid tensions: Morgan Stanley 

+ China ramped up exports to Africa in 2025, widening trade surplus by 64.5% to record US$102bn: customs figures 

+ China-Central Asia goods trade surpasses US$100bn for the first time: Ministry 

+ China-South Korea 13 round FTA 2nd phase talks in Beijing makes positive progress: Ministry 

+ ByteDance’s TikTok announced it established a majority American-owned JV to keep it operating inside US 

+ Shanghai to open free-to-fly zones covering 46% of city for consumer drones

*EUROPE*

+ EU-Mercosur signed trade deal after 25 yrs of negotiations; EU Commission indicates ready to implement deal despite parliament vote to delay

-EU Parliament voted to refer trade agreement with Mercosur to EU Court as widespread protest from farmers  

-European Commission reportedly set to unveil measures targeting China’s “high risk” vendors in critical telecoms n solar systems, to force EU member states to remove Huawei n ZTE from it networks, under new cybersecurity act 

+ EU-US trade talks revived after Trump withdrew Greenland threat 

-EU depletes gas reserves faster than usual: Bloomberg

-European some major airline temporarily halted services to some countries in ME amid growing security concerns linked to potential US military action against Iran 

+ Germany Composite PMI Output Index at 52.5 in Jan vs 51.3 in Dec, reaching 3-mth high 

-Germany’s HCOB Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.7 in Jan, vs 47 in Dec

-German annual producer price inflation declined by 2.5% in Dec 

± Germany sells €1bn in 30-year bonds at 3.49% yield 

+ German lawmaker pushing to repatriate gold from US, abt 1/3 of Berlin’s bullion reserves worth US$180bn remain in NY

+ UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.6 in Jan, strongest improvement in 17 mths 

+ UK PM Starmer to visit China with business leaders next week 

+ France’s HCOB Manufacturing PMI rose to 51 in Jan from 50.7 in Dec, highest in over 3 years 

Société Générale and BNP Paribas announced plans to slash headcount to reduce costs 

+ Russia's gold holdings have gained over US$216bn since the start of the war in Feb 2022 

*ASIA*

± Japan PM dissolves parliament, paving way for snap election

+ BoJ hikes GDP, inflation outlook, leaves benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.75% after raising 25bpd in Dec 

-Japan’s industrial production drops 2.7% in Nov to 101.9 

+ Japan’s private sector output expands at fastest rate in 17 mths in Jan at 52.8 from 51.5 in Dec 

+ Japan’s consumer inflation at 2.1% YoY in Dec vs 2.9% increase in Nov; Core CPI at 2.4%, down from 3% in Nov 

+ Japan posted ¥105.7 billion trade surplus in Dec

-India trade deficit in Dec edged up to US$25bn from US$ 24.5bn in Nov 

+ South Korea Kospi benchmark index topped 5000 points for the first 

+ Vietnam shipped US$3.44bn of spiky, pungent fruit to China in 2025, up from US$2.94bn 

+ Malaysia Ringgit touche 3.99 per USD, strongest in 7 years 

+ Malaysia’s total trade surpassed RM3 trillion mark for the first time in history in 2025 

+ Sg 2025 core inflation averages 0.7%, vs 2.8% in 2024, headline inflation at 0.9% for full year vs 2.4% 

+ Sg construction demands to stay firm at S$47bn to S$53bn in 2026: Minister 

+ Sg govt will commit >S$1bn to AI research and R&D over 5 yrs 

+ SGX proposes smaller board lots for higher-priced stocks 

+ BYD took top spot among brands in new passenger car sales in 2025 account for 21.2% of market share

 

 Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you

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