Lone wolf investor

  (Image credit: Knolskape.com) Market Summary 8-14 Sept 2025 *USA* ± US annual inflation rate accelerated to 2.9% in Aug, vs Jul’s 2.7%, highest since Jan, in line with expectation  ± US annual core CPI remained stable at 3.1% in Aug, up 0.3% MoM, in line with market expectations  ± US year-ahead inflation expectations stood at 4.8% in Sept, 5-year inflation outlook reaching 3-mth high of 3.9% in Aug  -US Consumer Sentiment Index down by 4.8% MoM in Sept to reach 55.4 pts to 4-mth low  -US Bureau for Labor Statistics acknowledged it overestimated employment by 911,000 in the 12-mth to Mar 2025; created only 847,000; largely by overestimates in retail, hospitality, business services  -US could be forced to refund ‘about half’ of tariffs if SCOTUS rules against Trump: Bassent  -Trump may declare a national housing emergency, citing rising prices and dwindling supply: Bassent  -US services inflation held at 3.8% for 3rd consecutive mth in Aug, highe...

  (Image credit:Thai Beverage) I bought a position in Thai Beverage during my staycation. I had a GTD order filled. Here I am back in Thai Beverage at a lower price than before. A few points on Thailand situation. (Opportunity came knocking when you least expected, on vacation) 1.) Thailand has a new Prime Minister. He promised to call for an election in about 4 months’ time. I hope that will finally bring stability to the country. 2.) In the meantime, he is implementing the half-half policy. Small businesses will benefit from the government policy. The Thai government will co-fund half of consumer spending. 3.) The strengthening of the Thai Baht will have a positive currency translation as results are reported in Thai Baht. There will be a slight bump up in dividends in SGD term.  4.) The increase in F&N stock’s price increases the sotp valuation. 5.) Lower interest is expected from Thai central bank. Thai Bev do have a ton of borrowing. 6.) Lowering of tension at Thai-Ca...

  (Image credit: GRACIOUSQUOTES.COM) Market Summary 1-7 Sept 2025 *USA* -US unemployment rate at 4.3% in Aug to near 4-yr high, jobless increased 148,000 to 7.384m -US factory orders down by 1.3% MoM in Jul at US$603.6bn ± US nonfarm employment up 22,000 in Aug, well below expectations of 75,000 + US average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 10 cents to US$36.53 in Aug    -US job cuts 85,979 in Aug, up 39% from 62,075 in Jul: Challenger  ± US private payrolls rose 54,000 in Aug, vs Jul’s revised number of 106,000 -US 30-year Treasury yield briefly breaking 5%, one of highest levels this year   ± US 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.10%, lowest in 5 mths  ± Trump’s short list for Fed: Hassett, Warsh and Waller  -US trade deficit widened to US$78.3bn in Jul, as imports surged, vs revised US$59.1bn deficit in Jun   + US composite PMI Output Index at 54.6 in Aug, vs 55.1 in Jul; Services PMI Business Activity Index at...

  (Image credit: traderlion.com) Market Summary 25-31 Aug 2025 *USA* + US appeal court rules most of Trump’s tariffs as illegal, allowed the tariffs to remain in place through Oct 14; case now likely proceed to the highest US court  + US economy grew 3.3% in Q2 at annualised pace, better than initial 3% estimate -US consumer confidence slid 6% MoM in Aug at 58.2, down 14.3% on annual level + US consumer spending up 0.5% to US$20.802 trillion in Jul, sharpest increase in 4 mths  + US personal income rose 0.4% MoM to US$25.905 trillion in Jul, 2nd consecutive monthly increase  ± US PCE price index up 0.2% MoM in Jul, following a 0.3% rise in Jun -US core PCE prices rose to 2.9% YoY in Jul, highest since Feb; up 0.3% MoM  -US year-ahead inflation expectations at 4.8% in Aug, 5-year outlook revised to 3.5% from initial 3.9% estimate  -US global trade deficit in goods at US$103.6bn in Jul, vs expectations of US$89.5bn: advance estimate  -US wholesale invent...

(Free image credit: Freepik.com) High asset price, low unemployment Our government has formed committees looking into strengthening our economy and employment. Given the era of trade war, Singapore as an entrepôt hub is under threat. We might enjoy the lowest baseline tariffs, but high tariffs on sub-sector like semiconductor and pharmaceutical exports are the most concerning. Both exports contribute a significant portion of our manufacturing output. It is a difficult situation for any country, not just Singapore, to deal with Draconian trade measures imposed by the US. In the meantime, local job creation is showing signs of slowing down. As an observer of the economy, I suggest keeping asset prices high. It might be contrary to the message of prudence by MAS. My reasoning why high asset prices should be tolerated or even encouraged in the short term before we come out with a comprehensive economic plan to deal with the changing order of world trade, is as follows. 1.) High asset price...

  (Source: MAS) Results from SSBs show a growing interest in one of the last few places for safe haven yield. With banks cutting savings interest like no tomorrow. Investors are going into SSBs with more urgency. I personally would like to see the upper limits for SSBs raised. It has been 10 years since the SSBs had a 200k cap. I will be exploring money market fund as a stop-gap measure for falling risk-free yields. God Bless.  Please consider following us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below. No form filling, no payment required, no collection of data, no data mining, no hard selling, no obligation.  https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1 Disclaimers   All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations befo...