Wolf Money(world market review 13-19 Mar 2023)




Yong Mun Sen Malaysia 1896-1962

Kampung Scene circa 1953

Collection of National Gallery



Market Summary 13-19 Mar 2023

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-  US consumer prices rose by 0.4% in Feb and 6% over the past 12 mths vs 6.4% in Jan 

- US Consumer Sentiment Index fell 5.4% in March MoM to 63.4: Uni of Michigan 

+ US industrial production unchanged in Feb 

+ Fed may pause rate hike next week with cuts to follow: traders bet 

- US prices for all items other than energy, food, shelter and used vehicles increase an annual rate of 5% in Feb n 4.3% over 3 mths from Dec to Feb 

+ US headline producer prices fell 0.1% MoM in Feb vs expectations 0.3% rise 

- US banks took out combined US$164.8bn in loans from 2 Federal Reserve facilities over last 2 weeks

- Biden pressed Congress to take action and hold executives who managed now-defunct banks accountable 

- Goldman Sachs loses around US$200m in market turmoil following SVB collapses: FT  

+ US regulators willing to share losses for sales of SVB, Signature Bank: FT

+ Yellen: ‘customers’ can feel confident that their deposits will be there when they need them’

- SVB Financial Gp, parent company of Silicon Valley Bank to file for bankruptcy under Chapter 11 

- First Republic Bank gets US$30bn in deposits from JPMorgan, BofA, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley 

+ First Citizens BancShares evaluating an offer to acquire Silicon Valley Bank: Bloomberg 

- Warren Buffett in discussion with senior US officials on banking crisis and possible ways out of it: Bloomberg 

- Nasdaq plans to delist Russia’s largest IT firm Yandex, e-commerce firm Ozon and 3 other tech firms  

- Trump says he expects to be arrested as prosecutors consider charges over hush money payment to a porn star 

+ Boeing inked deal with US army to build 184 Apache helicopters 

- US demanded TikTok to sell their stakes or face ban

+ Microsoft unveiled AI for its office suite of more users

- Apple delays bonuses for some and limits hiring in latest cost-cutting effort 

- Meta starts new round of layoffs with 1500 recruiting, HR jobs 

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+ China to cut reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for financial institutions by 0.25% pts to 7.6%

- China cuts US Treasuries for 6th straight mth to US$859.4bn in Jan from US$867.1bn in Dec, lowest level since GFC 

+ China retail sales grew 3.5% in first 2 mths vs contraction of 1.8% in Dec 

+ China’s new home prices in 55 out of 70 large and medium-sized cities saw MoM increases vs 36 in Jan: NBS 

+ China will reduce number of high-risk institutions to help fend off systemic financial risks 

+ Xi to visit Russia in a trip of ‘friendship cooperation and peace’

+ Xi says agricultural is a national security issue of extreme importance 

+ China state media: the collapse of SVB offers an important lesson for the country’s banking industry

+ China may allow foreign financial firms to list in China: ex FM 

+ Beijing city launches first China-Europe freight train 

+ China ramps up sci-tech self-reliance drive with establishment of new central commission 

+ China’s exports expected to keep growing to make contributions to overall economic growth in 2023 

+ China to step up financing support for private and small enterprises 

- China fined Deloitte US$31m for auditing negligence in assessing asset quality of Huarong Asset Mgnt  

+ China gearing up for harvest 2450 tonnes of its first domestic durian in Jun after >4 years of cultivation 

+ China’s power consumption registered robust increase in Feb, jumped 11% YoY: NEA data 

+ Huawei has replaced >13,000 parts in its products hit by US trade sanctions: founder 

+ Baidu unveiled ChatGPT rival Ernie 

- TikTok considers splitting from ByteDance if deal with US fails 

+ HKEX applies to launch RMB counter for trading its shares 

+ Cathay Pacific has very good chance posting net profit this year and returning to full capacity in 2024: CEO 

- Foxconn wins AirPods order, plans US$270m factory in India 

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- Japan posted trade deficit of ¥897.7bn in Feb, record for the mth, hurt by higher energy imports and weaker yen 

+ Japan’s labour unions confirm average wage hikes of 3.8%, a 3 decades high 

- Russian oil and gas production to shrink this year: Minister 

+ Russia’s Sberbank recommends record dividend payout: CEO

+ Russian firms flooded Kazakhstan partners with new requests to circumvent Western sanctions and import needed goods

+ Honduras to seek official ties with China at Taiwan’s expense 

+ Art auction hit record in 2022 with >1m artworks were put up for auction despite gloomy global economy 

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- ECB increases rates by 0.5%, from 2.5% to 3% to fight inflation

- Eurozone industrial production up by 0.7% in Jan

- EU to curb imports of Chinese green technologies and products including solar panels 

- EU’s automaker exit from Russia costs almost €700m 

- Germany’s IfW predicts 0.5% GDP growth in 2023 amid high inflation 

- Germany cold face shortage of LNG next winter as volumes secured under existing contracts are falling short of demand 

- Germany 4 airports workers on strike led to cancellation of hundreds of flights, the latest bout of industrial action 

- Volkswagen joins e-car price war as battle for global dominance in EV segment intensifies 

- UK facing biggest decline in living standards since records began in 1950s, and highest taxes since WWII: OBR

+ UK to incentivise business investment with tax breaks in latest budget

- UK set to ban TikTok from govt issued phones 

- HSBC buys SVB UK unit for £1, planning to inject £2bn of liquidity into the division 

- France annual inflation rose to revised 7.3% at record pace in Feb from 7%

- Swiss central bank to provide liquidity lifeline of US$54bn to Credit Suisse to shore up liquidity after a plunge in share prices 

+ UBS seeks US$6bn in govt guarantees for Credit Suisse in close to a deal to takeover

- Credit Suisse talks extended into Sunday, UBS racing to put together a deal to take over or break up

- Finland’s inflation hits 60-year high, food prices saw historic jump of 16.3% in Feb annual terms 

+ Turkey will ratify Finland’s NATO membership application: Erdogan

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท 

+ India’s pwer consumption surged 10% during Apr-Feb this fiscal year, surpassed the level in entire 2021-22 

+ South Korea and Japan agreed to drop dispute on high tech materials 

+ South Korean and Japanese leaders meet in Tokyo for the first time in 12 years to restore relations  

+ Saudi Arabia in active talks with China to price some oil sales to China in Yuan 

+ Saudi Arabia 2 airlines signed deal for up to 121 planes from Boeing worth US$37bn 

- Saudi Arabia will stop selling oil to any country that impose a price cap on its supplies: Minister 

+ Iran’s oil exports reach 5-year high

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ 

+ Indonesia recorded about US$8.6bn in budget surplus ended Feb, on 34th consecutive monthly trade surplus  

+ Indonesia would become 3rd largest producer of lithium batteries by 2028: Minister 

+ Jokowi urged to reduce dependence on foreign payment systems to negate potentially disastrous economic consequences 

- Vietnam’s central bank seeking to reduce maximum stake investors can hold in Vietnamese banks 

+ Vietnam to relax some visa requirements to attract more foreign tourists 

- Malaysia and Indonesia to meet EU in May over palm oil ban

+ Petronas plans to expand venture capital arm with up to US$200m as early as April: sources 

- Sg key exports contract 15.6% in Feb in 5th straight mth of decline; NODX fell 8% on seasonally-adjusted MoM

+ Sg total employment growth at all-time high in 2022, driven largely by return of foreign workers 

- Sg latest 6-mth T-Bill cut-off yield at 3.65%, lowest since last Sept’s 3.32% 

+ Sg and Indonesia inked agreements on tech, smart cities during Jokowi’s visit 

+ Changi Airport has been named world’s best airport for 12th time by Skytrax, regaining its crown after losing out in 2021/22


Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you

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Disclaimers 

All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. All information provided are for education only. Buyer beware,do you own due diligence.


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