Wolf Money(World Market Review 12-18 Oct 2026)

-

 

(Image credit: Moneycontrol.com)


Market Summary 12-18 Oct 2026

*USA* 

-US CPI up from 3.4% to 3.7% YoY in Sept, Core CPI rose 2.6% vs Aug’s 2.4%, gasoline rose 9.1%, accounting for >50% of headline index’s increase 

-US producer price index up 1.3% MoM in Sept, up 6.3% YoY, largest 12-mth increase since Dec 2022, 2nd highest on record

± US business inventories in manufacturing and trade sectors rose 0.4% MoM in Aug to US$2.82 trillion, up 4.6% on annual basis  

+ US retail sales up by 0.8% MoM in Sept on gasoline receipts, landing at US$745.0bn, vs forecasts 0.3% gain  

-US major indexes closed the wk mostly lower, sharp sell-off in AI related stocks, Nasdaq declining 4.48%

+ US initial applications for jobless benefits at 199,000, 5th consecutive reading below 200,000

+ US weekly employment added 24,750 jobs: ADP  

-US budget deficit stood at US$1.99 trillion for 2026 fiscal year, largest in 5 years 

+ US industrial production up 0.7% MoM in Sept, industrial output was up 2.2% YoY

-US 10-year Treasury note dropped to around 5.09% from around 5.24% prior week  

-US 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.4% as of Oct 15, hold at highest level since Nov 2023

-US Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.8 pts in Sept to 97.9, below 5year average of 98.0

-US crude inventories fell by 8.577m barrels in wk ended Oct 9, the most in 8 mths  

+ Trump signs order waiving Graham Act sanctions on Russia

-US’s expanded curbs on electronics using Huawei, ZTE parts take effect 

± US top banks reported mixed Q3 results; JPMorgan misses earnings, Goldman beats expectations  

-BoA hit with US$1.2bn fine over money laundering networks, sanctions program violation involving Iran and Russia 

+ Tesla unveiled next-generation ‘flying’ Roadster 

*OTHERS*

+ Global private credit market lenders raised US$129.15bn in first 9-mth, up 35% YoY and highest 9-mth since 2016

-Global PC market shipments slumped 9.1% QoQ in Q3 or down 20.1% YoY to 62.7 units amid rising costs, AI boom

-IEA agreed to accelerate the release of remaining 100m barrels of emergency oil stocks

+ Zambia reportedly to settle some copper exports to China in RMB from next year

*CHINA*

+ China’s inflation up from 0.8% to 0.9% YoY in Sept, up 0.2% on monthly basis, core CPI up 1% YoY 

± China’s PPI rose 5% YoY in Sept, up from 3.8% in Aug, highest since Jun 2022, up 1.2% MoM

+ China accelerating infrastructure needed to expand yuan’s use in global financing n investment to make yuan a global currency   

-China marked 2nd lowest-lowest monthly level in non-bank deposits in Sept, fell by ¥1.91 trillion to ¥850bn YoY

+ China’s new bank lending and total social financing rebounded in Sept, exceeding forecasts 

+ China’s exports up 36.3% YoY in Sept, vs 25% increase in Aug; imports up 31%, lifting trades surplus to record US$133.5bn

+ China’s total imports and exports reached ¥39.94 trillion (US$5.94 trillion) in first 3 qtrs, soaring 18.8% YoY, highest in 5 yrs 

-China mulls new tech export bans covering AI, biotechnology and solar power 

+ China ready to continue facilitating review, approval of rare-earth export license to Europe, urges reciprocation 

+ China-US trade rose 4.1% YoY in first 3 qtrs: Custom Data 

-China cuts US Treasury holdings to 18-year low in Aug to US$590.7bn, down US$27.3bn from US$618bn in Jul

+ China to stabilise equity market by urging companies and state-funds to buy shares, with selling curbs, buybacks: Bloomberg

+ China’s C919 passenger jet average daily flights per aircraft approaching Airbus A320‘s level 

+ Chinese automakers accelerate European production plan and technology partnerships, to establish stronger local presence 

+ China’s R&D expenditure rose 8.2% YoY to ¥3.93 trillion in 2025 

+ China rolls out ‘token factories’ to drive AI economy 

+ Tencent has priced a bond offering worth nearly US$5.7bn, with relatively low-interest yuan-denominated

-HK’s regulator froze nearly HK$4.7bn (US$599m) in assets and ordered a trading halt in bubble-tea chain Chapanda on suspected IPO manipulation 

+ Taiwan to fund US$4bn Texas industrial complex for AI, Nvidia partners 

+ TSMC posted record profit for 6th straight qtr on AI boom 

*EUROPE*

-ECB likely to raise rates by 25bps once more in 2026: IMF

-Eurozone industrial production fell 0.5% MoM in Aug, marks the 3rd consecutive mth of falling production 

-Eurozone posted €16.2bn goods trade deficit in Aug, down from €10.7bn surplus in Jul 

-Eurozone annual inflation rate at 3.8% in Sept, up from 3.2% in Aug 

-EU moves to block single market to counter China, widen imports curbs

-Eurozone’s industrial production declined by 0.5% MoM in Aug

+ Germany and France agreed to ease EU pollution rules for new cars and to let UK count as ‘Made in Europe’

+ UK GDP expanded 0.1% MoM in Aug, annually GDP grew 2.1%, strongest increase since Oct 2022 

-UK is set to increase tax on British banks on their profits 

-UK must work with EU to counter China’s EV dominance: UK Trade Minister 

-France’s annual inflation climbed to 3.1% in Sept from 2.4% in Aug 

-ASML CFO says US Match Act limiting DUV sales to China counterproductive, expects China to account 20% systems revenue in 2026  

*ASIA*

-Australia’s central signals further rate hikes possible 

± Japan 10-year govt bond fell to 2.94% from 3.01% to 5 -week low 

-Japan’s industrial production index down 2.4% MoM at 101.9 in Aug, up 2.7% on annual basis  

-Japan’s PPI down 0.3% MoM in Sept 

-Qatar’s country’s total revenues tumbled 42% in H1, energy facilities and disrupted natural gas exports affected by Iranian attacks 

-MSCI mulls reclassifying Indonesia's equity indexes to Standalone from Emerging Market

+ Malaysia’s GDP expanded 5.3% YoY in Q3, easing from 6% in previous period 

+ Sg NODX soared 68.4% YoY in Sept, vs revised 46.1% increase in Aug, marking 23rd consecutive mth of expansion n strongest growth on record, manly driven by electronics exports 

+ Sg overall landed price psf, including strata-landed properties, rose 3.6% QoQ to S$2111psf in Q3; gains uneven across districts 

-Sg Q2 tourism receipts down 6.2% at S$7.21bn amid global uncertainty 

-Sg should prepare for prolonged haze until Nov: Minister 


*I will be away for next 2 weeks plus, No summary Report for the period*

Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.

Please consider following us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below. No form filling, no payment required, no collection of data, no data mining, no hard selling, no obligation. 

Telegram Channel

https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1



(https://buymeacoffee.com/lonewolfinvestor)


Disclaimers 

All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. All information provided are for education only. Buyer beware,do you own due diligence.



Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Wolf Money(Thai Beverage PCL)

-
Image
  (Image credit:Thai Beverage) I bought a position in Thai Beverage during my staycation. I had a GTD order filled. Here I am back in Thai Beverage at a lower price than before. A few points on Thailand situation. (Opportunity came knocking when you least expected, on vacation) 1.) Thailand has a new Prime Minister. He promised to call for an election in about 4 months’ time. I hope that will finally bring stability to the country. 2.) In the meantime, he is implementing the half-half policy. Small businesses will benefit from the government policy. The Thai government will co-fund half of consumer spending. 3.) The strengthening of the Thai Baht will have a positive currency translation as results are reported in Thai Baht. There will be a slight bump up in dividends in SGD term.  4.) The increase in F&N stock’s price increases the sotp valuation. 5.) Lower interest is expected from Thai central bank. Thai Bev do have a ton of borrowing. 6.) Lowering of tension at Thai-Ca...
Read more

Wolf Money(Portfolio update end July 2026)long post

-
Image
  (Image credit: Universal Pictures; Jaafar Michael in the movie, Michael) Space “ Jam ”(Scam) Scams are everywhere. The legit and the illegal. “ Remember the Time ” when a friend named “ Billie Jean ” sold you an investment that promised high return. Money gone and the friend no where to be found. At least for regulated products, investors still have legal recourse through Fidrec or the court. Some scams are hard to detect. They are sold with no clear definitions in “ Black or White .” Most scams disguise as unregulated investment, operating within the grey zone. All scams should be dealt with extra care. If the amount lost is small, it creates uncertainty over one’s ability to trust. If the amount is big, it creates a financial black hole, causing stress and eventually self-destruction. I was told of a business opportunity by a close friend. He has nothing to do with the scheme. He is a people person who enjoys meeting new people. My friend is in an organisation promoting busines...
Read more

Wolf Money(portfolio review end 2025)long post

-
Image
  (Image credit: Freepik.com) Before I start, I would like to pray for the victims and families of the horrific tragedy at Bondi Beach and those affected by the floods across South East Asia. May God grant those affected with peace and strength in their recovery. Amen. 🙏 My review will start by giving thanks to all my friends for their friendship and wisdom. With your kindness and guidance, my world is a much better place. Please take a rain cheque for more lunches and coffee in the coming year. Commentary   Lone Wolf Fund(LWF) Portfolio as at end of Dec 2025 1.) Cash 2.)  Genting Singapore *Stocks are not rank in accordance to capital invested .  *Just for sharing. Not an inducement to buy or sell . LWF had a reasonable 2025. I probably did “67” for the year. The total return included dividends and cash yield came in at 18.5% unleveraged, which is higher than the previous 5 years average total returns of 17.5% and 13% over a 20-year period. Although the return was ...
Read more