Lone wolf investor

  The below article is for educational purpose only. Kindly refrain from taking any action. It shouldn’t constitute as an investment advice. Please read the disclaimer . I fired off my first purchase of the tariff-induced crash. I was searching high and low for a bargain, unfortunately, even with the substantial drop in prices for some stocks. I still find their valuation still uncomfortably high given the recessionary outlook. Most companies will be affected by the negative outlook one way or another.  I have decided to make a conservative purchase of Comfortdelgro(CDG). Below are the pros and cons  1.) Big drop in oil price will be helpful to mitigate CDG fuel cost. Even though most of the contracts do come with fuel indexing(principles paid). Some legacy tender like the NEL still requires CDG to foot the bill for the electricity.  2.) Progress in winning bus and rail contracts overseas. The company has been making headway in EU,UK and Australia, winning contract a...

  (Trump’s formula) Tariffs, Trade War and The Misguided Trumpism The world trade war is upon us. This is just the beginning. There is no escaping. I seriously doubt any country can negotiated out of the tariff. To me, having a gun pointing at the head is not negotiating. In Trumpland, countries have two options. Option 1 “You jump off the cliff” or Option 2 “ Someone pushes you off the cliff”. Back on a more serious note, any country thinking of negotiating out of trouble is going to be disappointed. I suspect any negotiated settlement will involved doing less trade with China, which means countries who agreed to such terms will be cutting off their Fortune God(China). Most countries on the tariff list will have China as their top or second trading partner. Both ways it cuts. It might be better to stand firm and be on the right side of history. Even if there are any negotiated deals, will the Trump administration keep their side of the bargain. NAFTA was a failed attempt to keep t...

  (Image credit: Wonderfulquote.com) Market Summary 1-6 Apr 2025 *USA* -Trump announced new universal tariffs on nearly all US trading partners; elevated tariffs rates on dozen of nations run trade surplus with US, imposing 10% baseline tax on imports, 34% tax imports from China, 20% on EU + S&P 500 sank 4.8%, its worst day since pandemic in 2020, Dow down 4%, Nasdaq tumbled 6% after Trump’s tariffs  -US stock market wipes out >US$5 trillion on Trump’s tariff war  ± Powell emphasised that employment and inflation remain core data points guiding monetary policy  -Powell: larger than expected tariffs likely to boost inflation, slow growth  + Fed seen waiting until Jun to start rate cuts, after big job gains last mth: Jefferies economist  -Morgan Stanley expects Fed will not cut rates this year due to potential elevated inflation levels  + US nonfarm payrolls rose by 228,000 in Mar, strongest in 3-mth, unemployment at 4.2% at approximately 7.1m, st...

  I thought I reposted this for people who are new to my blog. Like my school teacher always said “Do your homework now, Lone Wolf”. It is the best time to study the fundamental of the companies in greater details. The tariffs have far and wide implications on many companies. It will be best to sit back and analyse the situation carefully. I continue to avoid companies which are depending on the US market for bulk of their revenue or companies which rely on cheap imports into the US to make a profit. I do see more Americans going to Canada to buy their essential items or luxury items. Luxury watches from Switzerland will be charged a 31% tariff. Oh mine! There will be more work for border securities due to smuggling. Maybe there is a way forward with Canadian stocks that are selling to Americans making a beeline across the border? I don’t know. Take care. God Bless. -  August 06, 2024 (Image credit: Paramount Pictures; Brave Heart; Be Mel Gibson, not Meow Gibson) The market, a...

  Above is the full list of countries under the latest tariff.  Please consider following us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below. No form filling, no payment required, no collection of data, no data mining, no hard selling, no obligation.  https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1 Disclaimers   All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guar...

  I don’t like the inflation number out of the US. Inflation perked up even before tariff came into effect. Given the tariff is only just starting to affect the numbers on the upside. We might get a few ugly numbers over the next few months. With current backdrop, it will be difficult for Fed to cut interest rate. The US economic is heading towards stagflation which is no good to the stock market. Our 10 years’ yield trades in tandem with the 10 years UST. I rated 1 out 3 chances of a rate hike. I am rising cash to wait for opportunity. I made a couple of hundreds from the sale. Profit will go to charitable cause. Thank you. God bless. Please consider following us on telegram for the latest update on Lone Wolf investor by clicking on the link below. No form filling, no payment required, no collection of data, no data mining, no hard selling, no obligation.  https://t.me/joinchat/oCgkD3sQFRMzMWM1 Disclaimers   All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves su...

  (Image credit: WisdomBox.com) Market Summary 24-30 Mar 2025 *USA* -US year-ahead inflation expectations rose for 4th straight mth to 5% in Mar, steepest since Oct 2022  ± US PCE price index up by 0.3% MoM in Feb, same as previous 2 mths, core PCE rose 0.4% MoM in Feb, the most since Jan 2024  -US Michigan consumer sentiment revised lower to 57 in Mar from preliminary of 57.9, lowest since Nov 2022  + US spending up 0.4% MoM in Feb, vs expectations of 0.5% gain, person income rose 0.8% MoM, the most in over a yr  + US GDP Q4 growth rate at 2.4% from 3.1% in previous period, vs expected 2.3%  -US trade deficit stood at US$147.9bn in Feb, down by US$7.7bn from Jan’s figure  ± US Treasury sells US$70bn in 5-year notes at 4.123% yield  -US tariffs on imports are set to take effect on Apr 2, including 25% on levy on autos not made in US -US car tariffs will increase the cost of buying a new car by US$5000 to US$15,000: Goldman Sachs  -Trump annou...