Wolf Money(world market review 2-8 Aug 2021)


Koeh Sia Yong Singaporean 1938

Here they come! circa 1965

Collection of the National Gallery Singapore 


Market Summary 2-8 Aug 2021

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+ US nonfarm payrolls increased 943,000 jobs in July after rising 938,000 in June, jobless rate dropped to 5.4%

- US trade deficit hits record in Jun, gap widened by US$4.6bn to US$75.7bn as imports balloon

- US household debt at nearly US$15 trillion, up by the most in 14 years  

+ US weekly jobless claims declined further last week to 385,000, layoffs dropped to lowest level >21 years in July 

- US private hiring added 330,000 jobs in July, far below 653,000 estimates 

+ US Senate clears another key procedural hurdle on US$1 trillion infrastructure deal 

- US health authorities issued new moratorium on evictions until Oct 3 amid surge in Covid-19 infections, will keep millions inside their homes  

+ US extends loan payments for all federal student loans through end of Jan 2022 

+ US >30 most influential business geoups asked Biden administration to restart trade talks with China, cut tariffs on imports 

- SEC called on congress to give the agency more authority to better police cryptocurrency trading, lending and platforms  

+ US senators eye cryptocurrency taxes to fund infrastructure plan 

- US 14 Republican lawmakers asked Commerce Dept to add former Huawei unit Honor Device to economic blacklist 

+ US targets 50% of car sales being zero-emissions vehicles by 2030 

+ US air travel hits another pandemic high despite rising numbers of Covid-19 infections fueled by delta variant 

+ US plans to allow vaccinated foreign travelers

- Boeing’s astronaut taxi 2nd Starliner flight test delayed again after new glitch 

+ Boeing 737 MAX departs for key test flight in China 

- FTC says FB misused privacy decree to shut down ad research 

+ JPMorgan gotten approval for first fully foreign-owned brokerage in China 

+ Pfizer, Moderna raise EU vaccine prices 

+ Moderna says shot still highly effective after 6 mths, expects booster needed this winter as delta variant poses threat 

- Novavax again delayed timeline for seeking US approval for its 2-dose Covid-19 vaccine 

+ Apple working with more Chinese suppliers to produce its latest iPhones: Nikkei 

+ Amazon won major legal victory in India as top court blocked US$3.4bn deal struck by rival Reliance 

+ Google to launch own processor for upcoming Pixel phones 

- Uber posted US$509m adjusted loss on driver incentives although trips rise  

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- China’s Caixin manufacturing PMI fell to 50.3 in July, lowest since May 2020 

- China’s export growth slowed in July following outbreaks of Covid-19 cases, up by 19.3% vs 32.2% in June 

+ China aims to provide 2bn doses of COvid-19 vaccines to other countries in 2021: Xi

+ China’s foreign trade expected to reach new high in H2: business leaders 

- China closed tourists’ sites, cancelled cultural events, flights to curb Delta variant outbreak, spread to nearly half of 32 provinces within just 2 weeks 

- Chinese customs tightens quarantine, health monitoring at ports 

+ Chinese regulatory changes were local, rather than global problem, bank remained overweight: JPMorgan

- China’s regulatory agency launching investigation into chip distributions in to auto industry, citing suspicious of price gouging 

+ China’s domestic M&A surged in H1 with 6177 transactions, highest level since early 2018 

+ China Telecom plans to raise ¥47.1bn (US$8.4bn) from a listing in Shanghai that set to be world’s largest so far this year 

+ Chinese sports stocks surged average 10% after govt plans to boost sports activities, investments in national health and fitness

+ China’s first independent deepwater oil and gas project starts operating ahead of schedule 

+ China’s Ganfend Lithium, world’s largest by market cap, to invest total US$1.3bn to make “new-type” lithium batteries 

+ China’s Ningbo to invest US$1.24bn to boost battery materials output, eye exporting more to Europe 

- China’s market regulator launched investigation into fertilizer producers and distributors suspected of driving up prices 

- Evergrande financial health intensified after Leo Gp applied to Chinese court to freeze US$55m in assets for overdue payments 

- Evergrande and its 2 subsidiaries’ rating been downgraded by S&P by 2 notches to “CCC” from B-

+ China’s EV makers report strong July sales 

- Huawei reported its biggest ever revenue drop in H1, handsets revenue fell 47% 

+ China Molybdenum Co to spend US$2.5bn to double production of copper and cobalt at Congo mine 

- Huawei CFO’s US extradition case begins final weeks of hearings in Canadian court 

- Chinese state media called for an end to tax breaks for gaming companies, called the industry “spiritual opium”

- Chinese regulators meet with delivery firms, call for stronger labour rights  

- Chinese antitrust regulator to fine Meituan about US$1bn: WSJ

- Tencent shares fell most in 10 years on fear of crackdown, company to limit access to gaming for minors   

+ Alibaba revenue rose 35% to US$27bn in the qtr, misses revenue estimate 

+ ByteDance aims for HK IPO by early 2022: FT 

- Kuaishou to shut down US video app Zynn, gave no reason 

- Didi in talks with state-backed Westone to hand over data control-sources 

+ Li Auto, Chinese EV maker to raise US$1.52bn in HK listing 

+ Xiaomi achieved 17.1% share total number of smartphones sold globally in June, beating Samsung and Apple 

+ China builds hog hotels >10,000 pigs are kept in condominium-styled complex with restricted access, to prevent swine fever 

+ Taiwan July exports set to rise for 13th straight mth: Reuters poll 

+ Foxconn buys US$90.8bn wafer plant from Macronix, eyeing EV chips  

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+ Japan not considering extra budget for now: FM

- Japan’s household spending fell 5.1% in June as firms cut summer bonuses hit consumption

- Japan Covid-19 cases hit >1m as infections spread beyond Tokyo to other urban areas 

+ Toyota posted record Q1 net profit of US$8.2bn amid pandemic 

+ Honda >2000 staff or 5% of domestic workers apply for early retirement amid EV shift 

- Japan’s Osaka Dojima Commodity Exchange will end 300 years of trading rice futures in Jun 2022 

- Japan Airlines narrowed Q1 operating loss to US$757m as costs fall 

- Russia’s crude oil exports decline 8% in first 7-mth in compliance with OPEC+ production cuts deal 

- Russian to raise mineral extraction tax on metal producers in domestic market in 2022 to tackle raw material shortage

+ Russia aims to open its Arctic seas to int’l shipping to allow all-season transfer of cargo 

+ Russia’s export of agricultural goods increased by 16% in annual terms, reaching US$16.85bn 

+ Russia exports of chocolate surged 20%, on course to beat world’s favred chocolate maker Switzerland by end year  

+ Russia plans to subsidies EVs to spur demand 

+ IMF approves increased lending capacity by US$650bn to boost aid to most vulnerable countries 

- WHO called for a halt on Covid-19 vaccine boosters until Sept as gap between vaccinations in wealthy n poor countries widens 

- UN set to publish a report next week likely to start warnings how quickly the planet is warming 

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+ EU prepared a comprehensive reform to crack down money laundering 

- EU’s carbon tax could cost Russia up to US$12bn by 2030 

- European natural gas prices jumped to record high after an accident at Russia Gazprom plant affected the supply 

+ Airbus sees 1000 of its 2500 German jobs at risk without parts unit spinoff

- German industrial output dropped 1.3% in June, held back by supply bottlenecks for intermediate goods 

+ BMW raises 2021 profit forecast but chip shortage to hit H2

+ BoE said could gradually tighten monetary policy it has provided to UK economy during pandemic 

- AstraZeneca narrowed losses from its Covid-19 vaccine in Q2, earnings fell below forecast 

+ Virgin Galactic to sell space flight tickets starting at US$450,000

- Greece wildfires spread for 5th day, causing mass evacuations in north of Athens 

- Turkish lira wiped out half of June’s gain after Erdogan’s latest call for lower interest rates 

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- Australia barring non-resident citizens who enter the country from leaving again to reduce pressure on quarantine system 

- Australia will not bow to Chinese demands to restart talks: Foreign Minister

- Qantas to furlough 2500 workers from mid-Aug for estimated 2 mths 

+ Asian companies’ forward 12-mth earnings estimates lifted by 1.9% in July, the 13th consecutive profit upgrade by analysts 

+ India’s manufacturing sector rebounded in July on robust demand domestically and abroad 

+ Modi asked industry representatives to look at way to increase exports, to boost employment 

+ India state-held oil refiners to invest US$27bn to raise capacity by 20% 

+ India approved J&J single-shot Covid-19 vaccine for emergency use 

+ Samsung Chair Jay Y Lee, may be released on parole this mth 

+ South Korea digital lender Kakao shares surge nearly 80% in Seoul market debut, become the biggest lender by market value   

+ Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies are expected to return an aggregate growtth of 2.2%: World Bank GEU

+ Aramco’s quarterly net profit at US$25.5bn, highest since end 2018, up selling prices for crude oil to Asia 2nd consecutive mth 

- Qatar Airways grounded 13 Airbus A350s citing dispute with Airbus over aircraft’s carbon composite fuselage 

- Sri Lanka at risk of 1st sovereign default as bonds are nearly half face value, debt-to-GDP levels above 100%, 80% govt revenues spent on interest payments 

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+ Indonesia GDP grew 7% YoY in Apr to Jun period, first growth booked in 5 qtrs since pandemic hit 

+ Indonesia’s fiscal plans on track despite virus surge: FM 

+ Indonesia begins construction of SEA largest floating solar power plant

+ Indonesia will need US$365bn investments to achieve minimum 29% emissions reduction target by 2030 

+ Indonesia e-commerce giant Bukalapak’s shares jumped 25% in its debut on IDX after managed to raise US$1.5bn from IPO  

+ Indonesia now has more crypto investors registered with Indonesia Stock Exchange than individual retail investors 

- Thailand central bank cuts GDP outlook amid Covid surge, keeps rate at record low 

- Bangkok home prices dive most among SEA peers in Q1

- Hanoi to extend Covid-19 curbs as new cluster emerge 

+ Philippines ruling party leaders endorse Duterte for Vice President in 2022

+ Philippines posted smallest trade deficit in 3 mths in June at US$2.83bn, exports up 17.6% to US$6.51bn 

+ Cambodia aims to wean off US dollar dependence with digital currency 

- Cambodia officially ended its short-lived foray into oil production business after exploration firm declared bankruptcy 

+ Malaysia eases Covid-19 curbs to allow home quarantine for fully vaccinated Malaysian, PRs returning overseas

- Malaysia Umno retracting support for the ruling coalition 

+ Malaysia PM chairs 2nd National Recovery Council meeting, discusses need to reopen business sector especially SMI 

+ Malaysia received additional US$452m in misappropriated 1MDB funds from US, bringing total returned to >US$1.2bn 

+ AirAsia fintech unit secured up to USS$100m from South Korea SK Gp

+ Sg begins road to normalcy with a “vaccination differentiated” strategy from Aug 10  

+ Sg vaccination rate on track to hitting 70% by National Day 

+ Sg to licensee digital payment providers, approves crypto exchange 

+ Sg to disburse S$216m in rent support to over 38,400 tenants, owner-occupiers

+ Sg total 62 units sold in strata office market for H1, doubling 79 sold same period last year, values up 106% to S$691.5m 

+ Sg all 3 major local banks reported net profits of S$2bn for the first 6-mth 

+ Sg sets it sights on becoming world force in e-sports 

+ Sg retail sales rise 25.8%in June YoY from low base in 2020 

- Sg workers in selected sectors will be required to undergo vaccination or regular Covid-19 testing 

- Int’l Plaza in Tg Pagar achieved 80% mandate to launch biggest mixed-use enbloc sale bid could potentially smash records in terms of unit numbers and value 


Contribution by Derek@valueinvestments chat group. Thank you.

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Disclaimers 

All investments is highly speculative in nature and involves substantial risk of loss. We encourage our reader to invest very carefully. We also encourage reader to get personal advice from your professional investment advisor and to make independent investigations before acting on information that we publish. Much of our information is derived directly from information published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies on which we believe are reliable but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way whatsoever warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. All information provided are for information only. Buyer beware,do you own due diligence.


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